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Michaelmas 2018

Tuesday  02 October 2018  14:00 - 15:30

Political Capital

Gabriele Gratton (UNSW Business School) , joint with Richard Holden and Barton Lee

32L 3.05, 3rd Floor Conference Room, LSE, 32 Lincoln's Inn Fields, London WC2A 3PH


Please note new venue


Political Science and Political Economy Research Seminar
Tuesday  09 October 2018  14:00 - 15:30

Testing Legislator Responsiveness to Citizens and Firms in Single-Party Regimes: A Field Experiment with the Vietnamese National Assembly

Eddy Malesky (Duke University)

32L 1.04, 1st Floor Conference Room, LSE, 32 Lincoln's Inn Fields, London WC2A 3PH


Political Science and Political Economy Research Seminar
Tuesday  16 October 2018  14:00 - 15:30

Nation-Building, Nationalism, and Wars

Alessandro Riboni (Ecole Polytechnique and CREST) , joint with Alberto Alesina and Bryony Reich

[pdf] Download Paper


32L 1.04, 1st Floor Conference Room, LSE, 32 Lincoln's Inn Fields, London WC2A 3PH


Political Science and Political Economy Research Seminar
Wednesday  17 October 2018  12:30 - 13:45

TBC

Maria Polyakova (Stanford University)

32L 3.05, 3rd Floor Conference Room, LSE, 32 Lincoln's Inn Fields, London WC2A 3PH


Please note new venue


IFS-STICERD Public Economics Seminar
Tuesday  23 October 2018  14:00 - 15:30

Corruption and Firms: Evidence from Randomized Anti-corruption Audits in Brazil

Mounu Prem (Universidad del Rosario) , joint with Emanuele Colonnelli

[pdf] Download Paper


32L 1.04, 1st Floor Conference Room, LSE, 32 Lincoln's Inn Fields, London WC2A 3PH


Political Science and Political Economy Research Seminar
Tuesday  23 October 2018  18:30 - 20:00

Modi's India, Erdogan's Turkey, and the Crisis of the Secular State in the Non-Western World

Sumantra Bose (Department of Government, LSE) , joint with Department of Government

This lecture marks the publication of Sumantra Bose's new book, Secular States, Religious Politics: India, Turkey, and the Future of Secularism.


Sheikh Zayed Theatre, New Academic Building, LSE, 54 Lincoln's Inn Fields, WC2A 3LJ


External Event


For further information please contact india.observatory@lse.ac.uk or call 020 7955 7615.
Wednesday  24 October 2018  16:30 - 18:00

Migration Advisory Committee report: immigration post Brexit

Jonathan Portes (UK in a Changing Europe, King's College London)

[pdf] Download Paper


32L 1.04, 1st Floor Conference Room, LSE, 32 Lincoln's Inn Fields, London WC2A 3PH


CASE Social Exclusion Seminars
Tuesday  30 October 2018  14:00 - 15:30

Polarization and Pandering in Common Interest Elections

Joseph McMurray (Brigham Young University)

[pdf] Download Paper


32L 1.04, 1st Floor Conference Room, LSE, 32 Lincoln's Inn Fields, London WC2A 3PH


Political Science and Political Economy Research Seminar
Wednesday  31 October 2018  16:30 - 18:00

Estimating the number of vulnerable children in England

Leon Feinstein (Children's Commissioner's Office)

[pdf] Download Paper


32L 1.04, 1st Floor Conference Room, LSE, 32 Lincoln's Inn Fields, London WC2A 3PH


CASE Social Exclusion Seminars
Thursday  01 November 2018  17:00 - 18:30
Note change in Time


How Lives Change: Palanpur, India and Development Economics

Various Speakers 

External Event


For further information please contact india.observatory@lse.ac.uk or call 020 7955 7615.
Thursday  01 November 2018  15:30 - 17:00

Asymmetric Information and Security Design under Knightian Uncertainty

Anton Tsoy (Einaudi Institute for Economics and Finance) , joint with Andrey Malenko

[pdf] Download Paper


32L 3.05, 3rd Floor Conference Room, LSE, 32 Lincoln's Inn Fields, London WC2A 3PH


STICERD Economic Theory Seminars
Friday  02 November 2018  12:00 - 13:00

Quantile Graphical Models: Prediction and Conditional Independence with Applications to Systemic Risk

Mingly Chen (University of Warwick) , joint with A. Belloni and V. Chernozhukov

[pdf] Download Paper


32L B.11, Basement, LSE, 32 Lincoln's Inn Fields, London WC2A 3PH


Please note new venue


Joint Econometrics and Statistics Workshop
Friday  02 November 2018  13:00 - 14:00

Female Genital Cutting and Education: Theory and causal evidence from Senegal

Jorge Garcia-Hombrados (LSE)

32L 3.05, 3rd Floor Conference Room, LSE, 32 Lincoln's Inn Fields, London WC2A 3PH


STICERD Work in Progress Seminars
Monday  05 November 2018  12:00 - 13:30

Can Audits Backfire? Evidence from Public Procurement in Chile

Dina Pomeranz (Zurich)

[pdf] Download Paper


32L 1.04, 1st Floor Conference Room, LSE, 32 Lincoln's Inn Fields, London WC2A 3PH


CEP-STICERD Applications Seminar
Tuesday  06 November 2018  14:00 - 15:30

From Extreme to Mainstream: How Social Norms Unravel

Georgy Egorov (Northwestern) , joint with Leonardo Bursztyn and Stefano Fiorin

[pdf] Download Paper


32L 1.04, 1st Floor Conference Room, LSE, 32 Lincoln's Inn Fields, London WC2A 3PH


Political Science and Political Economy Research Seminar
Wednesday  07 November 2018  12:45 - 14:00
Note change in Time


Higher Education (Social Policy and Distributional Outcomes seminar series)

Abigail McKnight (CASE) , joint with Polina Obolenskaya (CASE)

[pdf] Download Paper


32L 1.04, 1st Floor Conference Room, LSE, 32 Lincoln's Inn Fields, London WC2A 3PH


CASE Social Exclusion Seminars
Thursday  08 November 2018  14:00 - 15:30

Quasi-Maximum Likelihood and The Kernel Block Bootstrap for Nonlinear Dynamic Models

Richard Smith (University of Cambridge) , joint with Paulo M.D.C. Parente (ISEG- Lisbon School of Economics & Management)

[pdf] Download Paper


32L 3.05, 3rd Floor Conference Room, LSE, 32 Lincoln's Inn Fields, London WC2A 3PH


STICERD Econometrics Seminar Series
Friday  09 November 2018  13:00 - 14:00

The values of confidential policy information: Persuasion, transparency and influence

Clement Minaudier (LSE)

32L 3.05, 3rd Floor Conference Room, LSE, 32 Lincoln's Inn Fields, London WC2A 3PH


STICERD Work in Progress Seminars
Monday  12 November 2018  12:00 - 13:30

Economic Losers and Political Winners: Sweden's Radical Right

Torsten Persson (IIES)

[pdf] Download Paper


32L 1.04, 1st Floor Conference Room, LSE, 32 Lincoln's Inn Fields, London WC2A 3PH


CEP-STICERD Applications Seminar
Monday  12 November 2018  12:30 - 14:00

Quantitative Analysis of Multiparty Tariff Negotiations

Ali Yurukoglu (Stanford Graduate School of Business) , joint with Kyle Bagwell and Robert Staiger

[pdf] Download Paper


32L 2.04, 2nd Floor Conference Room, LSE, 32 Lincoln's Inn Fields, London WC2A 3PH


STICERD Industrial Organisation Seminars
Tuesday  13 November 2018  14:00 - 15:30

Income Shocks and Inequality in Political Participation: Evidence from the US Shale Boom

Hye Young You (New York University) , joint with Michael W. Sances

[pdf] Download Paper


32L 1.04, 1st Floor Conference Room, LSE, 32 Lincoln's Inn Fields, London WC2A 3PH


Political Science and Political Economy Research Seminar
Wednesday  14 November 2018  12:45 - 14:00

Mobility and the Transition to Adulthood

Alina Pelikh (Institute for Social and Economic Research, University of Essex)

[pdf] Download Paper


32L 1.04, 1st Floor Conference Room, LSE, 32 Lincoln's Inn Fields, London WC2A 3PH


CASE Welfare Policy and Analysis Seminars
Thursday  15 November 2018  14:00 - 15:30

Sensitivity Analysis using Approximate Moment Condition Models

Tim Armstrong (Yale University) , joint with Michal Kolesár

[pdf] Download Paper


32L 3.05, 3rd Floor Conference Room, LSE, 32 Lincoln's Inn Fields, London WC2A 3PH


STICERD Econometrics Seminar Series
Thursday  15 November 2018  15:30 - 17:00

Price Discovery in a Large Auction with Costly Information

Alp Atakan (Queen Mary University of London) , joint with Mehmet Ekmekci

32L 3.05, 3rd Floor Conference Room, LSE, 32 Lincoln's Inn Fields, London WC2A 3PH


STICERD Economic Theory Seminars
Friday  16 November 2018  12:00 - 13:00

Fixed-Effects Models with Interval Censored Variables

David Pacini (University of Bristol) , joint with C Bontemps and T Magnac

[pdf] Download Paper


32L B.11, Basement, LSE, 32 Lincoln's Inn Fields, London WC2A 3PH


Please note new venue


Joint Econometrics and Statistics Workshop
Friday  16 November 2018  13:00 - 14:00

The Role of Social Norms in Old-age Support: Evidence from China

Xuezhu Shi (Department of Economics, LSE)

The norm of families providing support to the elderly is common in developing countries without comprehensive pension coverage and is important; it is usually gender-specific. This paper studies the inter-generational transmission of this social norm in China, focusing on the same-gender transmission channel. The mechanism behind this transmission is that parents, by their provision of support to their own parents, shape their children's preference for same-gender old-age support. That is, parents support their own parents according to the gender of their children. Given that the gender ratio of Chinese children is not random, I use an interaction term of the timing of the ban on sex-selective abortions in China and the gender of the first-born child as the instrumental variable for the gender of the children to alleviate possible endogeneity from the unbalanced gender ratio. The empirical results, using two Chinese datasets, show that parents with more same-gender children provide more support to their ageing parents than parents with cross-gender ones. The father effect is more significant in rural subsamples, and the mother effect is seen mainly in the urban ones. The urban-rural difference in the results may indicate a normative shift accompanying economic and demographic changes.


32L 3.05, 3rd Floor Conference Room, LSE, 32 Lincoln's Inn Fields, London WC2A 3PH


STICERD Work in Progress Seminars
Monday  19 November 2018  12:00 - 13:30

Rage Against The Machines: Labor-Saving Technology and Unrest in England, 1830-32

Hans-Joachim Voth (Zurich)

[pdf] Download Paper


32L 1.04, 1st Floor Conference Room, LSE, 32 Lincoln's Inn Fields, London WC2A 3PH


CEP-STICERD Applications Seminar
Monday  19 November 2018  12:30 - 14:00

Nonparametric Demand Estimation in Differentiated Products Markets

Giovanni Compiani (Haas School of Business, UC Berkeley)

[pdf] Download Paper


32L 2.04, 2nd Floor Conference Room, LSE, 32 Lincoln's Inn Fields, London WC2A 3PH


STICERD Industrial Organisation Seminars
Tuesday  20 November 2018  14:00 - 15:30

The Impact of Media Censorship: 1984 or Brave New World?

David Yang (Harvard University) , joint with Yuyu Chen

[pdf] Download Paper


32L 1.04, 1st Floor Conference Room, LSE, 32 Lincoln's Inn Fields, London WC2A 3PH


Political Science and Political Economy Research Seminar
Wednesday  21 November 2018  16:30 - 18:00

What does Brexit mean for social policy in the UK? An exploration of the potential consequences of the 2016 referendum for public services, inequalities and social rights (SPDO seminar series)

Kitty Stewart (CASE) , joint with Kerris Cooper

[pdf] Download Paper


32L 1.04, 1st Floor Conference Room, LSE, 32 Lincoln's Inn Fields, London WC2A 3PH


CASE Social Exclusion Seminars
Thursday  22 November 2018  14:00 - 15:30

The Empirical Content of Discrete Choice Models

Debopam Bhattacharya (University of Cambridge)

[pdf] Download Paper [pdf] Download 2nd Paper


Empirical demand models used for counterfactual predictions and welfare analysis must be rationalizable, i.e. theoretically consistent with utility maximization by heterogeneous consumers. We show that for binary choice under general unobserved heterogeneity, rationalizability is equivalent to a pair of Slutsky-like shape-restrictions on choice-probability functions. The forms of these restrictions differ from Slutsky-inequalities for continuous goods. Unlike McFadden-Richter's stochastic revealed preference, our shape-restrictions (a) are global, i.e. their forms do not depend on which and how many budget-sets are observed, (b) are closed-form, hence easy to impose on parametric/semi/non-parametric models in practical applications, and (c) provide computationally simple, theory-consistent bounds on demand and welfare predictions on counterfactual budget-sets. Finally, for multinomial-choice, we show that Daly-Zachary's well-known Slutsky-symmetry condition fails if income-effects are present. For such cases, using the theory of partial differential equations, we provide global conditions on choice-probability functions that are sufficient for rationalizability of demand.


32L 3.05, 3rd Floor Conference Room, LSE, 32 Lincoln's Inn Fields, London WC2A 3PH


STICERD Econometrics Seminar Series
Thursday  22 November 2018  15:30 - 17:00

Choosing Joint Distributions: Theory and Applications to Information Design

Margaret Meyer (Oxford)

[pdf] Download Paper


32L 3.05, 3rd Floor Conference Room, LSE, 32 Lincoln's Inn Fields, London WC2A 3PH


STICERD Economic Theory Seminars
Thursday  22 November 2018  18:30 - 20:00

How Lives Change: Palanpur, India, and Development Economics

Various Speakers 

A new perspective on the past, present, and future of India and of development economics seen through the detailed experience of 60 years of one village.


Old Theatre, Ground Floor, Old Building, LSE, Houghton Street, London WC2A 2AE


LSE India Observatory Public Lecture


For further information please contact india.observatory@lse.ac.uk or call 020 7955 7615.
Friday  23 November 2018  13:00 - 14:00

Knowing what's good for you: Can a repayment flexibility option in microfinance contracts improve repayment rates and business outcomes?

Giorgia Barboni (University of Warwick)

32L 3.05, 3rd Floor Conference Room, LSE, 32 Lincoln's Inn Fields, London WC2A 3PH


STICERD Work in Progress Seminars
Monday  26 November 2018  12:00 - 13:30

Types of Contact: A Field Experiment on Collaborative and Adversarial Caste Integration

Matt Lowe (MIT)

[pdf] Download Paper


32L 1.04, 1st Floor Conference Room, LSE, 32 Lincoln's Inn Fields, London WC2A 3PH


CEP-STICERD Applications Seminar
Monday  26 November 2018  12:30 - 14:00

Collateral and Asymmetric Information in Lending Markets

Nicola Pavanini (Tilburg University) , joint with Vasso Ioannidou and Yushi Peng

[pdf] Download Paper


32L 2.04, 2nd Floor Conference Room, LSE, 32 Lincoln's Inn Fields, London WC2A 3PH


STICERD Industrial Organisation Seminars
Tuesday  27 November 2018  14:00 - 15:30

Political Turnover, Bureaucratic Turnover, and the Quality of Public Services

Diana Moreira (UC Davis) , joint with Mitra Akhtari and Laura Trucco

[pdf] Download Paper


32L 1.04, 1st Floor Conference Room, LSE, 32 Lincoln's Inn Fields, London WC2A 3PH


Political Science and Political Economy Research Seminar
Wednesday  28 November 2018  12:30 - 13:45

TBC

Robert Moffitt (Johns Hopkins University)

IFS, 7 Ridgmount Street, London, WC1E 7AE


IFS-STICERD Public Economics Seminar
Wednesday  28 November 2018  12:45 - 14:00

Challenges and Contradictions in the ‘Normalising’ of Precarious Work

Jill Rubery (University of Manchester)

[pdf] Download Paper


32L 1.04, 1st Floor Conference Room, LSE, 32 Lincoln's Inn Fields, London WC2A 3PH


CASE Welfare Policy and Analysis Seminars
Thursday  29 November 2018  14:00 - 15:30

Bootstrap confidence bands for Levy densities under high-frequency observations and its application to financial data

Daisuke Kurisu (Tokyo Institute of Technology) , joint with Kengo Kato

[pdf] Download Paper


32L 3.05, 3rd Floor Conference Room, LSE, 32 Lincoln's Inn Fields, London WC2A 3PH


STICERD Econometrics Seminar Series
Thursday  29 November 2018  15:30 - 17:00

Fake Persuasion

Helios Herrera (University of Warwick) , joint with Jacob Glazer and Motty Perry

[pdf] Download Paper


32L 3.05, 3rd Floor Conference Room, LSE, 32 Lincoln's Inn Fields, London WC2A 3PH


STICERD Economic Theory Seminars
Friday  30 November 2018  12:00 - 13:00

A New Approach for Detecting Shifts in Forecast Accuracy’’

Jeremy Chiu (Bank of England) , joint with S. Hayes, G. Kapetanios, K. Theodoridis

[pdf] Download Paper


32L B.11, Basement, LSE, 32 Lincoln's Inn Fields, London WC2A 3PH


Please note new venue


Joint Econometrics and Statistics Workshop
Friday  30 November 2018  13:00 - 14:00

Free-riders and underdogs: participation in corporate voting?

Moqi Xu (LSE)

32L 3.05, 3rd Floor Conference Room, LSE, 32 Lincoln's Inn Fields, London WC2A 3PH


STICERD Work in Progress Seminars
Monday  03 December 2018  12:00 - 13:30

The More We Die, The More We Sell? A Simple Test of the Home-Market Effect

Heidi L Williams (MIT)

[pdf] Download Paper


32L 1.04, 1st Floor Conference Room, LSE, 32 Lincoln's Inn Fields, London WC2A 3PH


CEP-STICERD Applications Seminar
Tuesday  04 December 2018  14:00 - 15:30

The Strategy of Conquest

Sanjeev Goyal (Christ's College, Cambridge) , joint with Marcin Dziubinski and David E.N. Minarsch

[pdf] Download Paper


32L 1.04, 1st Floor Conference Room, LSE, 32 Lincoln's Inn Fields, London WC2A 3PH


Political Science and Political Economy Research Seminar
Wednesday  05 December 2018  12:45 - 14:00

The dynamics of disability and work

Melanie Jones (University of Cardiff)

[pdf] Download Paper


32L 1.04, 1st Floor Conference Room, LSE, 32 Lincoln's Inn Fields, London WC2A 3PH


CASE Welfare Policy and Analysis Seminars
Thursday  06 December 2018  14:00 - 15:30

Distribution Regression with Sample Selection, with an Application to Wage Decompositions in the UK

Ivan Fernandez-Val (Boston University)

[pdf] Download Paper


32L 3.05, 3rd Floor Conference Room, LSE, 32 Lincoln's Inn Fields, London WC2A 3PH


STICERD Econometrics Seminar Series
Thursday  06 December 2018  15:30 - 17:00

Repeated Choice: A Theory of Stochastic Intertemporal Preferences

Jay Lu (UCLA) , joint with Kota Saito

Abstract: We provide a repeated choice foundation for models of stochastic choice. An agent chooses from a menu repeatedly over time generating a time series of choices. We study the limit frequency of these choices and characterize when they are generated by a subjective ergodic utility process. All parameters of the model can be fully identified from binary choices. When the agent satisfies Independence of Continuation Menus (ICM), inference can be performed without modeling repetition and continuation problems explicitly. On the other hand, if ICM is violated, then ignoring continuation menus will lead to biased estimates and inferences. We show that ICM holds if and only if the utility process is standard, i.e. additively separable across time. Moreover, it is equivalent to indifference to the timing of resolution of uncertainty and a repeated version of the classic independence axiom. Applications include elicitation of risk-aversion under stochastic Epstein-Zin preferences and estimation under dynamic discrete-choice models.


32L 3.05, 3rd Floor Conference Room, LSE, 32 Lincoln's Inn Fields, London WC2A 3PH


STICERD Economic Theory Seminars
Friday  07 December 2018  12:00 - 13:00
Note change in Time


The Unintended Consequences of Infrastructure Development: Sewerage diffusion and early-life mortality in Peru

Antonella Bancalari (LSE)

32L 3.05, 3rd Floor Conference Room, LSE, 32 Lincoln's Inn Fields, London WC2A 3PH


STICERD Work in Progress Seminars
Friday  07 December 2018  12:00 - 13:00

CANCELLED

Svetlana Bryzgalova (London Business School) , joint with M Pelger and J Zhu

[pdf] Download Paper


32L B.11, Basement, LSE, 32 Lincoln's Inn Fields, London WC2A 3PH


Please note new venue


Joint Econometrics and Statistics Workshop
Monday  10 December 2018  12:00 - 13:30

The Local and Aggregate Effect of Agglomeration on Innovation: Evidence from High Tech Clusters

Enrico Moretti (UC Berkeley)

Most industries are spatially clustered and clustering is particularly strong in the high tech sector. In this paper I use longitudinal data on top patenters to estimate the productivity benefits enjoyed by scientists who locate in Silicon Valley-style clusters. As a measure of worker-specific productivity, I use the number of patents produced in a year. I find that when a scientist moves to a larger cluster, she experiences significant increases in the number of patents produced and the number of subsequent citations. The productivity increase follows the move, and there is no evidence of pre-trends. Using an instrumental variable based on the geographical structure of firms with laboratories in multiple cities, I estimate that the elasticity of number of patents with respect to cluster size is 0.04. I use my estimates to quantify the macro-economic benefits of clustering for the US as a whole. I find significant aggregate efficiency gains from clustering. In a counterfactual scenario where the quality of U.S. inventors is held constant and their geographical location is changed so that all cities have the same number of inventors, the overall number of patents in US would be significantly smaller. I conclude that while clustering of high tech industries may exacerbate earning inequality across U.S. communities; it is important for overall production of innovation in the US.


32L 1.04, 1st Floor Conference Room, LSE, 32 Lincoln's Inn Fields, London WC2A 3PH


CEP-STICERD Applications Seminar
Monday  10 December 2018  12:30 - 14:00

Health Insurance Menu Design: Managing the Spending-Coverage Tradeoff

Kate Ho (Princeton University)

32L 2.04, 2nd Floor Conference Room, LSE, 32 Lincoln's Inn Fields, London WC2A 3PH


STICERD Industrial Organisation Seminars
Tuesday  11 December 2018  14:00 - 15:30

The Value of Opposition Media: Evidence from Venezuela

Brian Knight (Brown University) , joint with Ana Tribin

[pdf] Download Paper


32L 1.04, 1st Floor Conference Room, LSE, 32 Lincoln's Inn Fields, London WC2A 3PH


Political Science and Political Economy Research Seminar
Wednesday  12 December 2018  12:30 - 13:45

TBC

Daniel Reck (STICERD, London School of Economics)

IFS, 7 Ridgmount Street, London, WC1E 7AE


IFS-STICERD Public Economics Seminar
Thursday  13 December 2018  14:00 - 15:30

Plug-in Regularized Estimation of High-Dimensional Parameters in Nonlinear Semiparametric Models

Denis Nekipelov (University of Virginia)

[pdf] Download Paper


32L 3.05, 3rd Floor Conference Room, LSE, 32 Lincoln's Inn Fields, London WC2A 3PH


STICERD Econometrics Seminar Series
Thursday  13 December 2018  15:30 - 17:00

TBC

Laurent Mathevet (NYU)

32L 3.05, 3rd Floor Conference Room, LSE, 32 Lincoln's Inn Fields, London WC2A 3PH


STICERD Economic Theory Seminars
Friday  14 December 2018  12:00 - 13:00

Identification and Inference of Type I and Type II Error Probabilities: Judging the Justice System

Luke Taylor (Aarhus University) , joint with Shin Kanaya

[pdf] Download Paper


32L B.11, Basement, LSE, 32 Lincoln's Inn Fields, London WC2A 3PH


Please note new venue


Joint Econometrics and Statistics Workshop
  
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