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Abstract:

Econometrics Paper
Nonparametric likelihood for volatility under high frequency data
Lorenzo Camponovo, Yukitoshi Matsushita and Taisuke Otsu
January 2015
Paper No' EM/2015/581:
Full Paper (pdf)

JEL Classification: C14


Tags: nonparametric likelihood; volatility; high frequency data

We propose a nonparametric likelihood inference method for the integrated volatility under high frequency financial data. The nonparametric likelihood statistic, which contains the conventional statistics such as empirical likelihood and Pearson’s chi-square as special cases, is not asymptotically pivotal under the so-called infill asymptotics, where the number of high frequency observations in a fixed time interval increases to infinity. We show that multiplying a correction term recovers the chi-square limiting distribution. Furthermore, we establish Bartlett correction for our modified nonparametric likelihood statistic under the constant and general non-constant volatility cases. In contrast to the existing literature, the empirical likelihood statistic is not Bartlett correctable under the infill asymptotics. However, by choosing adequate tuning constants for the power divergence family, we show that the second order refinement to the order n^2 can be achieved.