Calendar

Wednesday 21 April 2021 16:30 - 17:30

IFS-STICERD Public Economics Seminar

Taxing high-powered entrepreneurship

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Wednesday 05 May 2021 16:30 - 18:00

CASE Social Exclusion Seminars

Educational Inequalities and Post-pandemic Schools

Inequalities in attainment and experiences are long-established in the state school system in England, but ever-changing, particularly in this era of school disruption. This presentation will use findings from research p...Read more...

Wednesday 05 May 2021 16:30 - 17:30

IFS-STICERD Public Economics Seminar

The Economic Impacts of COVID-19: Evidence from a New Public Database Built Using Private Sector Data

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Thursday 06 May 2021 - Friday 07 May 2021 00:00

STICERD Econometrics Seminar Series

CANCELLED

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Thursday 06 May 2021 13:00 - 14:00

IFS/STICERD/UCL Development Work in Progress Seminar

Improving Infrastructure in Developing Cities: Experimental Evidence from India

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Thursday 06 May 2021 14:30 - 19:30

STICERD Public Events and Lectures

Paris-London Public Economics Conference, 6-7 May 2021

The Paris-London Public Economics conference is a two-day conference organized by faculty at the London School of Economics, Sciences Po, University College London, the Institut des Politiques Publiques, the Institute fo...Read more...

Thursday 06 May 2021 15:30 - 17:00

STICERD Economic Theory Seminars

Competitive Advertising and Pricing

We consider an oligopoly model in which each firm chooses not only its price but also its advertising strategy regarding how much product information to provide. Unlike most previous studies on advertising, we impose no ...Read more...

Friday 07 May 2021 12:00 - 13:00

Joint Econometrics and Statistics Workshop

Learning Financial Network with Misspecification via Double Regularized GMM

Financial network analysis has gained significant attention recently. The identification, estimation and inference issues are intrinsically important in understanding the underlying network structure. We try to uncover t...Read more...

Tuesday 11 May 2021 12:00 - 13:30

CEP/STICERD Applications Seminars

TBC

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Tuesday 11 May 2021 14:00 - 15:30

Political Science and Political Economy Research Seminar

The Origins of Elite Persistence: Evidence from Political Purges in post-World War II France

This paper studies the mechanisms that allow political elites from a non-democratic regime to survive a democratic transition and argues that connections is one of them. We document this phenomenon using the transition f...Read more...

Thursday 13 May 2021 13:00 - 14:00

IFS/STICERD/UCL Development Work in Progress Seminar

Ethnic Homogenization and Public Goods: Evidence from Kenya's land reform programme

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Thursday 13 May 2021 14:00 - 15:30

STICERD Econometrics Seminar Series

Adaptive, rate-optimal testing in instrumental variables models

This paper proposes simple, data-driven, optimal rate-adaptive inferences on a structural function in semi-nonparametric conditional moment restrictions. We consider two types of hypothesis tests based on leave-one-out s...Read more...

Thursday 13 May 2021 15:30 - 17:00

STICERD Economic Theory Seminars

Screening for breakthroughs

We identify a new and pervasive dynamic agency problem: that of incentivising the prompt disclosure of productive information. To study it, we introduce a model in which a technological breakthrough occurs at an uncertai...Read more...

Monday 17 May 2021 12:00 - 13:30

CEP/STICERD Applications Seminars

Family spillovers in high school majors | High school majors, comparative (dis)advantage, and future earnings

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Tuesday 18 May 2021 14:00 - 15:30

Political Science and Political Economy Research Seminar

Refugee Migration and the Politics of Redistribution: Do Supply and Demand Meet?

Voter demand for less redistribution in the face of mass migration maps into actual outcomes insofar as politicians supplying these policies respond to it. We study whether establishing new asylum-seeker centers influenc...Read more...

Wednesday 19 May 2021 16:30 - 18:00

CASE Social Exclusion Seminars

Against the Odds: Why expecting schools to overcome disadvantage is doomed to failure

Since 2011 the government has invested £21bn into improving the academic achievements of children facing socio-economic disadvantage. The ‘pupil premium’ was intended to reduce the attainment gap between students from lo...Read more...

Wednesday 19 May 2021 16:30 - 17:30

IFS-STICERD Public Economics Seminar

Tax knowledge and tax manipulation: A unifying model

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Thursday 20 May 2021 12:00 - 13:30

CEP/STICERD Applications Seminars

What does schooling do? Cognitive endurance as human capital

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Thursday 20 May 2021 13:00 - 14:00

IFS/STICERD/UCL Development Work in Progress Seminar

Optimal Assignment of Bureaucrats: Evidence from Randomly Assigned Tax Collectors in the DRC

States regularly assign agents to teams and postings, yet rarely with the explicit goal of boosting public sector productivity. This paper asks whether a low-capacity state can improve performance through the optimal...Read more...

Thursday 20 May 2021 14:00 - 15:30

STICERD Econometrics Seminar Series

CANCELLED

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Thursday 20 May 2021 15:30 - 17:00

STICERD Economic Theory Seminars

Subjective Causality in Choice

An agent makes a stochastic choice from a set of lotteries. She infers the outcomes of her options using a subjective causal model represented by a directed acyclic graph, and consequently may misinterpret correlation as...Read more...

Monday 24 May 2021 12:00 - 13:30

CEP/STICERD Applications Seminars

The origins and content of new work, 1940-2018

Recent theory stresses the role of new job types (‘new work’) in counterbalancing the erosive effect of task-displacing automation on labor demand. We study new work by building a novel nearly century-long inventory of n...Read more...

Tuesday 25 May 2021 14:00 - 15:30

Political Science and Political Economy Research Seminar

Exposing the revolving door in executive branch agencies

We develop the first comprehensive mapping of the revolving door phenomenon in the U.S. by examining the work experience in executive branch agencies of 1,910,150 individuals covering top corporate positions in 373,011 f...Read more...

Thursday 27 May 2021 13:00 - 14:00

IFS/STICERD/UCL Development Work in Progress Seminar

Interest-Based Negotiation over Natural Resources: Experimental Evidence from Liberia

Over the last two decades, developing countries have seen a sharp increase in external demand for land and other natural resources. Despite hopes that these outside investments would spur local development, host communit...Read more...

Thursday 27 May 2021 15:30 - 17:00

STICERD Economic Theory Seminars

Post-liberalisation India Has Become More Unequal

Bitcoin provides its users with transaction-processing services which are similar to those of traditional payment systems. This article models the novel economic structure implied by Bitcoin’s innovative decentralized de...Read more...

Tuesday 01 June 2021 14:00 - 15:30

Political Science and Political Economy Research Seminar

TBC

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Thursday 03 June 2021 13:00 - 14:00

IFS/STICERD/UCL Development Work in Progress Seminar

Pro-Poor Transfers and Economic Preferences of the Rich and Poor: Evidence from a Four Year Partial Population Experiment.

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Thursday 03 June 2021 15:00 - 16:30

STICERD Econometrics Seminar Series

Universal Prediction Band, Semi-Definite Programming and Variance Interpolation

A frequent criticism from the statistics community to modern machine learning is the lack of rigorous uncertainty quantification. Instead, the machine learning community would argue that conventional uncertainty quantifi...Read more...

Thursday 03 June 2021 15:30 - 17:00

STICERD Economic Theory Seminars

Online Appendix to Optimal Technology Design: Risk-averse Agent

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Monday 07 June 2021 12:00 - 13:30

CEP/STICERD Applications Seminars

New Work or Changes in Reporting? A Framework for Measuring Self-Employment Trends in Administrative Data

Changes in self-employment rates may reflect changes in the structure of the labor market and the extent of entrepreneurial activity in the broader economy. Increasingly, researchers are looking to administrative tax mea...Read more...

Tuesday 08 June 2021 14:00 - 15:30

Political Science and Political Economy Research Seminar

Reelection can Increase Legislative Cohesion: Evidence from Clientelistic Parties in Mexico

It is often argued that when legislators have electoral incentives to cultivate personal votes, parties are less cohesive. This is because legislators have an alternative principal with whom they must build bonds of acco...Read more...

Thursday 10 June 2021 13:00 - 14:00

IFS/STICERD/UCL Development Work in Progress Seminar

Tax Evasion and the Minimum Wage

Can tax evasion justify high but taxed minimum wages? Exploiting a change in reporting defaults and the implied audit threat in Hungary, we demonstrate that a substantial portion of those who declare the minimum wage hav...Read more...

Thursday 10 June 2021 15:30 - 17:00

STICERD Economic Theory Seminars

Information Acquisition, Efficiency, and Non-Fundamental Volatility’

This paper analyzes non-fundamental volatility and efficiency in a class of large games (including e.g. linear-quadratic beauty contests) that feature strategic interaction and endogenous information acquisition. We adop...Read more...

Monday 14 June 2021 12:00 - 13:30

CEP/STICERD Applications Seminars

How the 1963 Equal Pay Act and 1964 Civil Rights Act Shaped the U.S. Gender Gap

In the 1960s, two landmark pieces of legislation targeted the long-standing practice of labor-market discrimination against U.S. women. The Equal Pay Act of 1963 mandated equal pay for equal work, and Title VII of the Ci...Read more...

Wednesday 16 June 2021 16:30 - 18:00

CASE Social Exclusion Seminars

Children’s Life-histories In Primary Schooling [CLIPS]: Persevering in exclusion?

This presentation explores the experiences of children designated as ‘lower-attaining’ in British primary schooling. It draws on Nancy Fraser’s (2008) conceptualisation of a global shift from government via nation-state...Read more...

Wednesday 16 June 2021 16:30 - 17:30

IFS-STICERD Public Economics Seminar

Price Theory for Incomplete Markets

In this paper, we derive formulas expressing the elasticity of individual consumption to changes in current and future interest rates and income in incomplete market models. We generalize the existing price theory formul...Read more...

Thursday 17 June 2021 13:00 - 14:00

IFS/STICERD/UCL Development Work in Progress Seminar

Responsible Sourcing? Theory and Evidence from Costa Rica

The adoption of Responsible Sourcing (RS) requirements by multinational enterprises (MNEs) include minimum standards on wages, benefits, working conditions and other production practices at their suppliers worldwide. Des...Read more...

Thursday 17 June 2021 15:30 - 17:00

STICERD Economic Theory Seminars

Agency-Constrained Information Design: Regulating Financial Analysts

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Wednesday 23 June 2021 16:00 - 17:00

STICERD Public Events and Lectures

STICERD Morishima Lecture: Awakening the Giant Beast: from pandemic to economic recovery

How does the Biden-Harris Administration evaluate the current state and growth trajectory of the U.S. economy as it emerges from the COVID-19 pandemic? How are the Administration’s plans to expand infrastructure investme...Read more...

Wednesday 23 June 2021 16:30 - 17:30

IFS-STICERD Public Economics Seminar

Structural transformation and U-shaped female employment

We build a consistent measure of female employment for the US over the last one hundred and fifty years -- encompassing intensive and extensive margins -- combining data from the US population Census and several early st...Read more...

Thursday 24 June 2021 13:00 - 14:00

IFS/STICERD/UCL Development Work in Progress Seminar

Ripple Effects of Conflict: Spatial Propagation through Prices in Somalia

This paper estimates spatial spill-over effects of conflict by considering food prices as a propagating mechanism for food security in Somalia. Exploiting geo-coded data on violent incidents and the food logistics networ...Read more...

Wednesday 07 July 2021 16:30 - 18:00

CASE Social Exclusion Seminars

Great Mistakes in Education Policy: and how to avoid them in the future

Can a clear view of what’s gone wrong in the past help forge a new consensus about the policy directions of the future? In this seminar, Ruth Lupton will talk about her new book with Debra Hayes: Great Mistakes in Educa...Read more...

Thursday 08 July 2021 09:30 - 18:00

STICERD Public Events and Lectures

Ninth Meeting of the Society for the Study of Economic Inequality

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Thursday 23 September 2021 12:30 - 14:00

IFS/STICERD/UCL Development Work in Progress Seminar

AI-tocracy

Can frontier innovation be sustained under autocracy? We argue that innovation and autocracy can be mutually reinforcing when: (i) the new technology bolsters the autocrat's power; and (ii) autocrats' spending on the n...Read more...

Thursday 30 September 2021 12:30 - 14:00

IFS/STICERD/UCL Development Work in Progress Seminar

Organising Development

People are poor because their labor is not paid enough to afford basic needs. To understand development we need to understand the jobs of the poor and how they change over the development path. The traditional view of de...Read more...

Thursday 30 September 2021 15:30 - 17:00

STICERD Economic Theory Seminars & STICERD Economic Theory Seminars

Costly monitoring in signaling games

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Tuesday 05 October 2021 14:00 - 15:30

Political Science and Political Economy Research Seminar & Political Science and Political Economy Research Seminar

The Social Bureaucrat: How Social Proximity among Bureaucrats Affects Local Governance

Most studies that examine subnational variations in public services associate low government performance with a lack of accountability. I instead offer a capacity-based explanation. Specifically, I develop a theory based...Read more...

Thursday 07 October 2021 11:00 - 12:00

CASE Special Events

Stick or Shift? Attitudes towards inequality, the Welfare State and social security benefits during COVID-19

What can we learn about (public) attitudes towards aspects of the welfare state in the context of the COVID-19 pandemic? It is a now well-rehearsed observation that the pandemic has created unprecedented social condition...Read more...

Thursday 07 October 2021 12:30 - 14:00

IFS/STICERD/UCL Development Work in Progress Seminar & IFS/STICERD/UCL Development Work in Progress Seminar

Political Reservations as Term Limits

While political reservations aim to ensure a more equal representation for women and disadvantaged groups, they also impose effective term limits on many incumbent politicians who would otherwise have had a chance to con...Read more...

Thursday 07 October 2021 15:30 - 17:00

STICERD Economic Theory Seminars & STICERD Economic Theory Seminars

Efficient Investment and Search in Matching Markets

We study a two-sided search-and-matching model in which agents invest before entry. In every period, agents incur an additive search cost, pairs meet at random and bargain over prices. Inefficiencies can be caused by a p...Read more...

Tuesday 12 October 2021 14:00 - 15:30

Political Science and Political Economy Research Seminar & Political Science and Political Economy Research Seminar

Echo Chamber Elections

Elections aggregate information of citizens who gather information, in part from mainstream news, but possibly to a large extent from their different echo chambers which filter news in particular ways. We study informati...Read more...

Thursday 14 October 2021 12:30 - 14:00

IFS/STICERD/UCL Development Work in Progress Seminar & IFS/STICERD/UCL Development Work in Progress Seminar

Relational Contracts and Development

The first part of the talk will be based on this review paper (see link below). In the second part, he hopes to receive feedback on a new, closely related, RCT he is undertaking in partnership with a coffee MNC in Rwanda...Read more...

Thursday 14 October 2021 15:30 - 17:00

STICERD Economic Theory Seminars & STICERD Economic Theory Seminars

Conjugate Persuasion

We consider a class of persuasion games in which the sender has rank-dependent preferences. Like much of the recent Bayesian persuasion literature, we assume the receiver’s action depends only on her posterior expectatio...Read more...

Tuesday 19 October 2021 14:00 - 15:30

Political Science and Political Economy Research Seminar & Political Science and Political Economy Research Seminar

Political Competence and Electoral Competition

How does politician competence, conceptualized as the ability to effectively implement policies, affect campaign platforms and electoral competition? We develop a framework where politicians differ in terms of ideologica...Read more...

Wednesday 20 October 2021 16:30 - 18:00

CASE Social Exclusion Seminars & CASE Social Exclusion Seminars

The scale and drivers of inequalities in and by mental health

In this talk, some recent evidence related to the extent of inequalities in adolescent mental health by various different socio-demographic indicators (sex/gender, ethnicity, sexuality, socioeconomic) will be presented, ...Read more...

Thursday 21 October 2021 12:30 - 14:00

IFS/STICERD/UCL Development Work in Progress Seminar & IFS/STICERD/UCL Development Work in Progress Seminar

Long-Run Impacts of In-Utero Ramadan Exposure: Evidence from Administrative Tax Records

Using Ramadan fasting as a natural experiment, we estimate the long-run impacts of health and nutrition shocks experienced during pregnancy on adult outcomes. We exploit administrative tax return data comprising the univ...Read more...

Thursday 21 October 2021 15:30 - 17:00

STICERD Economic Theory Seminars & STICERD Economic Theory Seminars

Coasian Dynamics Under Informational Robustness

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Tuesday 26 October 2021 14:00 - 15:30

Political Science and Political Economy Research Seminar & Political Science and Political Economy Research Seminar

The Management of the Pandemic and its Effects on Trust and Accountability

The management of the COVID-19 pandemic represented one of the greatest challenges that policymakers had to face in recent history. The rapidly changing reality and directives may have contributed to a popular perception...Read more...

Wednesday 27 October 2021 12:30 - 13:45

IFS-STICERD Public Economics Seminar & IFS-STICERD Public Economics Seminar

Firms, Informality and the Spatial Effects of Labor Market Shocks: Evidence from the Syrian Refugees in Turkey

This paper develops a new framework to analyse the effects of labor market shocks in developing economies and their distribution across space. It incorporates some of the key features of these countries, in particular th...Read more...

Thursday 28 October 2021 12:30 - 14:00

IFS/STICERD/UCL Development Work in Progress Seminar & IFS/STICERD/UCL Development Work in Progress Seminar

Subjective Expectations and Demand for Contraception

One-quarter of married, fertile-age women in Sub-Saharan Africa report not wanting a pregnancy and yet do not use contraceptives. The presentation will cover both our completed project on “Subjective Expectations and D...Read more...

Thursday 28 October 2021 15:30 - 17:00

STICERD Economic Theory Seminars & STICERD Economic Theory Seminars

Moderate Expected Utility

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Monday 01 November 2021 16:00 - 17:30

CEP/STICERD Applications Seminars & CEP/STICERD Applications Seminars

Where is Standard of Living the Highest? Local Prices and the Geography of Consumption

There are large differences in mean income across US cities, but little is known about the levels of standard of living in each city—defined as the amount of market-based consumption that residents are able to afford. In...Read more...

Tuesday 02 November 2021 14:00 - 15:30

Political Science and Political Economy Research Seminar & Political Science and Political Economy Research Seminar

TBC

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Wednesday 03 November 2021 16:30 - 17:30

IFS-STICERD Public Economics Seminar & IFS-STICERD Public Economics Seminar

Racial inequality in the U.S. unemployment insurance

In the U.S., the rules commanding the rights to unemployment insurance (UI) are less generous in states with larger Black populations, which means that Black claimants systematically receive less UI than White claimants ...Read more...

Thursday 04 November 2021 12:30 - 14:00

IFS/STICERD/UCL Development Work in Progress Seminar & IFS/STICERD/UCL Development Work in Progress Seminar

Fiscal Capacity and Public Spending: Historical Evidence from U.S. Cities

This paper explores the importance of sources of revenue for local public spending. Using newly collected data on municipal finances for more than 300 U.S. cities over 1910-1936, I leverage information on revenue flow fr...Read more...

Thursday 04 November 2021 15:30 - 17:00

STICERD Economic Theory Seminars & STICERD Economic Theory Seminars

Screening and Information-Sharing Externalities

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Monday 08 November 2021 16:00 - 17:30

CEP/STICERD Applications Seminars & CEP/STICERD Applications Seminars

Public Subsidies, Political Discretion, and Policy Effectiveness

We estimate the effects of a large program of public investment subsidies to private firms in Italy. Investment projects presented by firms were ranked by numerical scores reflecting both objective measures of project qu...Read more...

Tuesday 09 November 2021 14:00 - 15:30

Political Science and Political Economy Research Seminar & Political Science and Political Economy Research Seminar

TBC

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Wednesday 10 November 2021 12:30 - 14:00

STICERD Public Events and Lectures & STICERD Public Events and Lectures

COVID-19 vs. the Ultra-Poor Graduation Approach: Evidence from Bangladesh

This event will bring to light the latest findings by BIGD and LSE on the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on the 2007 cohort of beneficiaries of BRAC’s UPG program in rural areas of Bangladesh. The speakers, alongside a ...Read more...

Wednesday 10 November 2021 16:30 - 18:00

CASE Social Exclusion Seminars & CASE Social Exclusion Seminars

The NHS, schools, and social care in the four nations of the UK: how do they compare?

Devolution afforded Scotland, Wales and Northern Ireland the opportunity to manage public services differently from the approach taken in England. The devolved governments have now had control of services for over twenty...Read more...

Thursday 11 November 2021 12:30 - 14:00

IFS/STICERD/UCL Development Work in Progress Seminar & IFS/STICERD/UCL Development Work in Progress Seminar

Revealed Beliefs and the Marriage Market Return to Education

This paper explores how parents in Rajasthan, India decide how long to keep a daughter in school and when, and to who, to get her married. We develop a dynamic model of parental decision making in which parents take scho...Read more...

Thursday 11 November 2021 15:30 - 17:00

STICERD Economic Theory Seminars & STICERD Economic Theory Seminars

Dynamic Incentives in Incompletely Specified Environments

Consider a repeated interaction where it is unknown which of various stage games will be played each period. This framework captures the logic of intertemporal incentives even though numeric payoffs to any strategy prof...Read more...

Monday 15 November 2021 16:00 - 17:30

CEP/STICERD Applications Seminars & CEP/STICERD Applications Seminars

Regulating Untaxable Externalities: Are Vehicle Air Pollution Standards Effective and Efficient?

What is a feasible and efficient policy to regulate air pollution from vehicles? A Pigouvian tax is technologically infeasible. Most countries instead rely on exhaust standards that limit air pollution emissions per mile...Read more...

Tuesday 16 November 2021 14:00 - 15:30

Political Science and Political Economy Research Seminar & Political Science and Political Economy Research Seminar

Gender Attitudes in the Judiciary: Evidence from U.S. Circuit Courts

Do gender attitudes influence interactions with female judges in U.S. Circuit Courts? In this paper, we propose a novel judge-specific measure of gender attitudes based on use of gender-stereotyped language in the judge’...Read more...

Wednesday 17 November 2021 16:30 - 17:30

IFS-STICERD Public Economics Seminar & IFS-STICERD Public Economics Seminar

Where Does Wealth Come From?

Much attention has been given to rising wealth inequality in recent decades. However, understanding inequality requires an understanding of how wealth relates to the potential wealth an individual could accumulate and w...Read more...

Thursday 18 November 2021 12:30 - 14:00

IFS/STICERD/UCL Development Work in Progress Seminar & IFS/STICERD/UCL Development Work in Progress Seminar

Bayesian models for stable subgroup treatment effects: an analysis of six graduation studies

Broadly successful interventions such as the Graduation program may still exhibit treatment effect heterogeneity across subgroups and across study contexts. Yet effectively using estimated subgroup effects to inform targ...Read more...

Thursday 18 November 2021 14:00 - 15:30

STICERD Econometrics Seminar Series & STICERD Econometrics Seminar Series

Demand and Welfare Analysis in Discrete Choice Models with Social Interactions

Many real-life settings of individual choice involve social interactions, causing targeted policies to have spillover effects. This paper develops novel empirical tools for analyzing demand and welfare effects of policy ...Read more...

Thursday 18 November 2021 15:30 - 17:00

STICERD Economic Theory Seminars & STICERD Economic Theory Seminars

Making Decisions under Model Misspecification

We use decision theory to confront uncertainty that is sufficiently broad to incorporate “models as approximations.” We presume the existence of a featured collection of what we call “structured models” that have explici...Read more...

Monday 22 November 2021 16:00 - 17:30

CEP/STICERD Applications Seminars & CEP/STICERD Applications Seminars

Achieving Scale Collectively

This paper argues that rental market interactions allow small firms to increase their effective scale and mechanize production, even when each individual firm would be too small to invest in expensive machines. We conduc...Read more...

Tuesday 23 November 2021 14:00 - 15:30

Political Science and Political Economy Research Seminar & Political Science and Political Economy Research Seminar

TBC

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Thursday 25 November 2021 12:30 - 14:00

IFS/STICERD/UCL Development Work in Progress Seminar

Rural to Urban Migration, Informality and Firm Dynamics

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Thursday 25 November 2021 14:00 - 15:30

STICERD Econometrics Seminar Series

Optimal Dynamic Treatment Regimes and Partial Welfare Ordering

Dynamic treatment regimes are treatment allocations tailored to heterogeneous individuals. The optimal dynamic treatment regime is a regime that maximizes counterfactual welfare. We introduce a framework in which we can ...Read more...

Thursday 25 November 2021 15:30 - 17:00

STICERD Economic Theory Seminars

Dynamic persuasion and games with Incomplete Information on one side

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Monday 29 November 2021 16:00 - 17:30

CEP/STICERD Applications Seminars

CANCELLED

Survey evidence suggests that domestic violence is widespread. However, no evidence exists to date on the impact of cohabitating with an abuser on women’s labour market outcomes. We match police records on all crime repo...Read more...

Tuesday 30 November 2021 14:00 - 15:30

Political Science and Political Economy Research Seminar

Reading Twitter in the Newsroom: Web 2.0 and Traditional-Media Reporting of Conflicts

User-generated online content changes traditional-media news on conflicts. Online posts by citizen journalists — first-hand witnesses of conflict events — change the extent, tonality, and content of traditional-media rep...Read more...

Thursday 02 December 2021 12:30 - 14:00

IFS/STICERD/UCL Development Work in Progress Seminar

How to Reveal 21% of GDP in Hidden Assets: Evidence from Argentina's Tax Amnesties

Tax amnesties are a controversial and widely-used policy tool to encourage evaders to disclose income or wealth in exchange for reduced penalties and no prosecution. We investigate the effectiveness of tax amnesties leve...Read more...

Thursday 02 December 2021 14:00 - 15:30

STICERD Econometrics Seminar Series

Standard Errors for Two-Way Clustering with Serially Correlated Time Effects

We propose improved standard errors and an asymptotic distribution theory for two-way clustered panels. Our proposed estimator and theory allow for arbitrary serial dependence in the common time effects, which is exclude...Read more...

Monday 06 December 2021 16:00 - 17:30

CEP/STICERD Applications Seminars

Navigating Stormy Waters: Crises, Selection, and Productivity Dynamics Under Financial Frictions

We build a growth model with heterogeneous firms that endogenizes productivity growth, firm selection, and borrowing under financial frictions. In particular, facing an incomplete financial market with endogenous (firm-s...Read more...

Tuesday 07 December 2021 14:00 - 15:30

Political Science and Political Economy Research Seminar

TBC

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Wednesday 08 December 2021 12:30 - 13:45

IFS-STICERD Public Economics Seminar

Capital Taxation and Entrepreneurship

Policymakers often want to encourage entrepreneurial activity. Commonly, they do this through preferential tax rates on business income, but these come with a substantial tax revenue cost. We develop a dynamic model of b...Read more...

Thursday 09 December 2021 12:30 - 14:00

IFS/STICERD/UCL Development Work in Progress Seminar

The Geography of Structural Transformation: Effects on Inequality and Mobility

Economies transform at an uneven pace: San Jose's meteoric rise coexists with Detroit's slow decline. This paper develops a dynamic overlapping generations model of economic geography to explain variation in structural...Read more...

Thursday 09 December 2021 14:00 - 15:30

STICERD Econometrics Seminar Series

Inference in Regression Discontinuity Designs with High-Dimensional Covariates

We study regression discontinuity designs in which many covariates, possibly much more than the number of observations, are available. In such settings, it is not feasible to feed all covariates in a standard procedure f...Read more...

Thursday 09 December 2021 15:30 - 17:00

STICERD Economic Theory Seminars

CANCELLED

Much of the work on auction theory focuses on design aspects in situations motivated by formally organized auctions, like those held by government agencies. However, auction models are also convenient abstractions of les...Read more...

Monday 13 December 2021 16:00 - 17:30

CEP/STICERD Applications Seminars

The Impact of Payroll Tax Subsidies: Theory and Evidence

We study the employment and wage effects of age-dependent payroll tax subsidies for both younger (under 25) and older (over 55) workers using a policy change in Hungary. Using rich administrative data and a difference-in...Read more...

Thursday 16 December 2021 12:30 - 14:00

IFS/STICERD/UCL Development Work in Progress Seminar

POSTPONED

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Friday 14 January 2022 14:30 - 17:00

STICERD Public Events and Lectures

Hub for Equal Representation in the Economy Launch event: Making Equality Work

The Hub for Equal Representation in the economy will be officially launched the 14th of January 2022. Prominent academics and business leaders will come together for this event and share knowledge and strategies to set t...Read more...

Tuesday 25 January 2022 14:00 - 15:30

Political Science and Political Economy Research Seminar

Accountability under political polarization

Political polarization, by distorting how citizens process objective information about government performance, can undermine electoral accountability. We study whether citizens in a highly polarized environment can be nu...Read more...

Tuesday 01 February 2022 14:00 - 15:30

Political Science and Political Economy Research Seminar

Interest-based Negotiation over Natural Resources

Over the last two decades, developing countries have seen a sharp increase in external demand for land and other natural resources. Despite hopes that these outside investments would spur local development, host communit...Read more...

Wednesday 02 February 2022 16:30 - 18:00

CASE Social Exclusion Seminars

Neurodiversity at Work - Opportunity or Exploitation?

In this talk Dr Doyle, from the Centre for Neurodiversity Research at Work will discuss both sides of the Neurodiversity Movement coin. A seemingly new narrative in employment and the business press, the Neurodiversity p...Read more...

Tuesday 08 February 2022 14:00 - 15:30

Political Science and Political Economy Research Seminar

Hosting Media Bias: Evidence from the Universe of French Broadcasts, 2002-2020

What role do journalists play in slanting media content? Because media bias can crucially impact political and social outcomes, we study the relative role of journalists and owners in shaping media slant. To do so, we bu...Read more...

Friday 11 February 2022 12:00 - 13:00

Joint Econometrics and Statistics Workshop

Debiased Inverse Propensity Score Weighting for Estimation of Average Treatment Effects with High-Dimensional Confounders

Please register to attend: https://lse.zoom.us/j/82688220867...Read more...

Monday 14 February 2022 16:00 - 17:30

CEP/STICERD Applications Seminars

Transhumant Pastoralism, Climate Change, and Conflict in Africa

We consider the effects of climate change on seasonally migrant populations that herd livestock i.e. transhumant pastoralists in Africa. Traditionally, transhumant pastoralists benefit from a cooperative relationship wit...Read more...

Tuesday 15 February 2022 14:00 - 15:30

Political Science and Political Economy Research Seminar

Can We Sustainedly Inoculate Individuals Against Misinformation in the Global South

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Friday 18 February 2022 12:00 - 13:00

Joint Econometrics and Statistics Workshop

Matching for causal effects via multimarginal optimal transport

Please register to attend: https://lse.zoom.us/j/81404118660...Read more...

Monday 21 February 2022 16:00 - 17:30

CEP/STICERD Applications Seminars

Organized Crime and Economic Growth: Evidence from Municipalities Infiltrated by the Mafia

This paper studies the long-run economic impact of dismissing city councils infiltrated by organized crime. Applying a matched difference-in-differences design to the universe of Italian social security records, we find ...Read more...

Tuesday 22 February 2022 14:00 - 15:30

Political Science and Political Economy Research Seminar

How Does the State Replace the Community? Experimental Evidence on Crime Control from South Africa

Throughout the developing world, citizens often rely on mechanisms other than the state’s justice system to deal with crime. A common form of informal crime control is mob vigilantism, the physical punishment of criminal...Read more...

Thursday 24 February 2022 12:30 - 14:00

IFS/STICERD/UCL Development Work in Progress Seminar

TBC

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Thursday 24 February 2022 14:00 - 15:30

STICERD Econometrics Seminar Series

TBC

We provide a decision theoretic analysis of bandit experiments. The bandit setting corresponds to a dynamic programming problem, but solving this directly is typically infeasible. Working within the framework of diffusio...Read more...

Thursday 24 February 2022 15:30 - 17:00

STICERD Economic Theory Seminars

Redistributive Allocation Mechanisms

Many scarce public resources are allocated at below-market-clearing prices, and sometimes for free. Such “non-market” mechanisms necessarily sacrifice some surplus, yet they can potentially improve equity. In this paper,...Read more...

Monday 28 February 2022 16:00 - 17:30

CEP/STICERD Applications Seminars

Worker Beliefs About Outside Options

Workers wrongly anchor their beliefs about outside options on their current wage. In particular, low-paid workers underestimate wages elsewhere. We document this anchoring bias by eliciting workers’ beliefs in a represe...Read more...

Tuesday 01 March 2022 14:00 - 15:30

Political Science and Political Economy Research Seminar

TBC

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Thursday 03 March 2022 12:30 - 17:00

IFS/STICERD/UCL Development Work in Progress Seminar

To invest or not to invest in sanitation: the role of intra-household gender differences in perceptions and bargaining power

We exploit novel data collected within a randomised controlled trial of a sanitation microcredit intervention to study how intra-household gender differences in perceptions of costs and benefits of sanitation impact inve...Read more...

Thursday 03 March 2022 15:30 - 17:00

STICERD Economic Theory Seminars

Simultaneous Search and Adverse Selection

We study the effect of diminishing search frictions in markets with adverse selection by presenting a model in which agents with private information can simultaneously contact multiple trading partners. We highlight a ne...Read more...

Monday 07 March 2022 16:00 - 17:30

CEP/STICERD Applications Seminars

Food vs. Food Stamps: Evidence from an At-Scale Experiment in Indonesia

Governments seeking to provide food assistance have a choice between providing in-kind food directly to beneficiaries, or providing vouchers that can be used to purchase food on the market. To understand the differences ...Read more...

Tuesday 08 March 2022 14:00 - 15:30

Political Science and Political Economy Research Seminar

TBC

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Wednesday 09 March 2022 16:30 - 18:00

CASE Social Exclusion Seminars

Repeat performances: SEND, Exclusions and minority young people

This talk discusses the long history of children and young people from minority (especially Black Caribbean) backgrounds excluded from mainstream schooling. From the ESN scandals of the 19760s and 1970s to the numbers of...Read more...

Thursday 10 March 2022 13:00 - 14:00

IFS/STICERD/UCL Development Work in Progress Seminar

Flushing out bad equilibria - Evidence from maintenance of public infrastructure in India

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Thursday 10 March 2022 14:00 - 15:30

STICERD Econometrics Seminar Series

High Dimensional Forecast Combinations Under Latent Structures

This paper presents a novel high dimensional forecast combination estimator in the presence of many forecasts and potential latent group structures. The new algorithm, which we call l2-relaxation, minimizes the squared l...Read more...

Thursday 10 March 2022 15:30 - 17:00

STICERD Economic Theory Seminars

Local Evidence and Diversity in Minipublics

We study optimal minipublic design with endogenous evidence. A policymaker selects a group of citizens—a minipublic—for advice on the desirability of a policy. Citizens can discover local evidence but might be deterred b...Read more...

Monday 14 March 2022 16:00 - 17:30

CEP/STICERD Applications Seminars

Technology Lock-In and Optimal Carbon Pricing

This paper studies the implications of low energy prices today for energy efficiency and climate policy in the future. If adjustment costs mediate manufacturing plants’ responses to increases in energy prices, incumbents...Read more...

Tuesday 15 March 2022 14:00 - 15:30

Political Science and Political Economy Research Seminar

Who Watches the Watchmen? Local News and Police Behavior in the United States

Do U.S. municipal police departments respond to news coverage of local crime? We address this question exploiting an exogenous shock to local crime reporting induced by acquisitions of local TV stations by a large broadc...Read more...

Wednesday 16 March 2022 12:30 - 14:00

IFS-STICERD Public Economics Seminar

Systemic Discrimination Among Large U.S. Employers

We study the results of a massive nationwide correspondence experiment sending more than 83,000 fictitious applications with randomized characteristics to geographically dispersed jobs posted by 108 of the largest U.S. e...Read more...

Thursday 17 March 2022 12:30 - 17:00

IFS/STICERD/UCL Development Work in Progress Seminar

Constructive Extraction? - Encomienda, the Colonial State, and Development in Colombia

The Spanish encomienda, a colonial forced-labor institution that lasted three centuries, killed many indigenous people and caused others to flee into nomadism. And yet we show that Colombian municipalities with encomien...Read more...

Thursday 17 March 2022 14:00 - 15:30

STICERD Econometrics Seminar Series

Moment Conditions for Dynamic Panel Logit Models with Fixed Effects

This paper builds on Bonhomme (2012) to develop a method to systematically construct moment conditions for dynamic panel data logit models with fixed effects. After introducing the moment conditions obtained in this way,...Read more...

Thursday 17 March 2022 15:30 - 17:00

STICERD Economic Theory Seminars

Auctions with Frictions

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Tuesday 22 March 2022 14:00 - 15:30

Political Science and Political Economy Research Seminar

CANCELLED: Building State Capacity: What is the Impact of Development Projects?

Although research has established the importance of state capacity in economic development, less is known about how to build that capacity and the role of external partners in the process. This paper estimates the impact...Read more...

Thursday 24 March 2022 12:30 - 14:00

IFS/STICERD/UCL Development Work in Progress Seminar

Consumer Search and Firm Location: Evidence from the Garment Sector in Uganda

In low-income cities economic activity is spatially concentrated, with firms in the same sector operating next to one another in informal clusters. Typical explanations for firm agglomeration relate to positive productio...Read more...

Thursday 24 March 2022 15:30 - 17:00

STICERD Economic Theory Seminars

Optimal Political Career Dynamics

e examine politicians’ career dynamics generated by political accountability, characterizing voter-optimal equilibrium play under repeated moral hazard. When moral hazard binds, equilibrium play is non-stationary: Re-el...Read more...

Friday 25 March 2022 12:00 - 13:00

Joint Econometrics and Statistics Workshop

Flexible Covariate Adjustments in Regression Discontinuity Designs

Empirical regression discontinuity (RD) studies often use covariates to increase the precision of their estimates. In this paper, we propose a novel class of estimators that use such covariate information more efficientl...Read more...

Monday 28 March 2022 16:00 - 17:30

CEP/STICERD Applications Seminars

The Political-Economic Causes of the Soviet Great Famine, 1932-33

This study constructs a large dataset with newly collected archival data to investigate the causes of Ukrainian mortality during the Soviet Famine, 1932-33. First, we document that the regime set higher grain production ...Read more...

Monday 28 March 2022 18:00 - 19:00

STICERD Public Events and Lectures

What role does social identity play in politics?

What is social identity? What role does it play in politics? In the inaugural annual LSE Political Science and Political Economy public lecture, Moses Shayo will discuss how individuals associate themselves and identify ...Read more...

Tuesday 29 March 2022 14:00 - 15:30

Political Science and Political Economy Research Seminar

TBC

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Thursday 31 March 2022 13:00 - 14:00

IFS/STICERD/UCL Development Work in Progress Seminar

Input Sourcing in Lopsided Low-income Economies

Input sourcing is central to the process of economic development. Using transaction-level data on the universe of formal, firm-to-firm and firm-to-foreign country trade in Uganda---a landlocked, low-income country---we f...Read more...

Thursday 31 March 2022 14:00 - 15:30

STICERD Econometrics Seminar Series

Slow Movers in Panel Data

This Panel data often contain stayers (units with no within-variations) and slow movers (units with little within-variations). In the presence of many slow movers, conventional econometric methods can fail to work. We pr...Read more...

Thursday 31 March 2022 15:30 - 17:00

STICERD Economic Theory Seminars

TBC

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Thursday 28 April 2022 13:00 - 14:00

IFS/STICERD/UCL Development Work in Progress Seminar

Effect of Health Insurance in India: A Randomized Controlled Trial

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Wednesday 04 May 2022 12:30 - 13:30

IFS-STICERD Public Economics Seminar

Targeting Precision Medicine: Evidence from Prenatal Screening

Technological advances in medicine increasingly offer opportunities to target care to patients identified through screening, raising questions of how broadly to screen for potential cases of disease. We explore this trad...Read more...

Thursday 05 May 2022 13:00 - 14:00

IFS/STICERD/UCL Development Work in Progress Seminar

Tax Audits Under Weak Fiscal Capacity: Experimental Evidence from Senegal

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Thursday 05 May 2022 15:30 - 17:00

STICERD Economic Theory Seminars

Communication Under Scrutiny

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Monday 09 May 2022 16:00 - 17:30

CEP/STICERD Applications Seminars

Traditional Supernatural Beliefs and Prosocial Behavior

In sub-Saharan Africa, traditional supernatural beliefs, including belief in witchcraft, black magic, or fetishism, are widespread. Some have hypothesized that these beliefs help to sustain cooperative behavior in a sett...Read more...

Thursday 12 May 2022 13:00 - 14:00

IFS/STICERD/UCL Development Work in Progress Seminar

Charismatic Leaders and Nation-Building

This paper investigates the role of individual leaders in constructing a national identity. I study the activities and legacy of Mustafa Kemal “Atatürk”, the founder of modern Turkey. I create a novel historical database...Read more...

Thursday 12 May 2022 14:00 - 15:30

STICERD Econometrics Seminar Series

Robust Estimation and Inference in Panels with Interactive Fixed Effects

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Thursday 12 May 2022 15:30 - 17:00

STICERD Economic Theory Seminars

Mechanisms without transfers for fully biased agents

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Monday 16 May 2022 16:00 - 17:30

CEP/STICERD Applications Seminars

"Compensate the Losers?" Economy-policy preferences and partisan realignment in the US

Why have less educated voters abandoned center-left parties in rich democracies in recent decades? While much recent literature highlights the role of cultural issues, we argue that, at least in the US, the Democratic Pa...Read more...

Wednesday 18 May 2022 12:30 - 13:30

IFS-STICERD Public Economics Seminar

Pregnancy Loss: Stress, Investment, and Subsequent Children

Pregnancy loss, which affects about 1 in 4 pregnancies, is often a traumatic, although unacknowledged, event which may alter prenatal stress and investments in subsequent pregnancies. Using Norwegian registry data, we ex...Read more...

Thursday 19 May 2022 13:00 - 14:00

IFS/STICERD/UCL Development Work in Progress Seminar

Votes for Women: What drives male support?

One of the most fundamental aspects of female empowerment is the right to vote, and a considerable literature has examined the impact of female suffrage on the size of government and the share of social spending, both of...Read more...

Thursday 19 May 2022 14:00 - 15:30

STICERD Econometrics Seminar Series

On Local Projection Based Inference

This Montiel Olea and Plagborg-Møller (2021) recently propose robust confidence intervals for impulse responses based on the lag-augmented local projection regression, under the full mean independence assumption on the s...Read more...

Thursday 19 May 2022 15:30 - 17:00

STICERD Economic Theory Seminars

Keeping the Agents in the Dark: Private Disclosures in Competing Mechanisms

We study competing-mechanism games, in which several principals contract with several privately informed agents. We show that enabling the principals to engage into private disclosures—whereby a principal sends to the ag...Read more...

Friday 20 May 2022 12:00 - 13:00

Joint Econometrics and Statistics Workshop

CANCELLED

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Monday 23 May 2022 16:00 - 17:30

CEP/STICERD Applications Seminars

Power and Dignity in the Low-Wage Labor Market: Theory and Evidence from Walmart Workers

We present a survey-based methodology for estimating employer market power and worker valuations of job amenities. We discuss a simple model of a monopsonistic employer choosing wages jointly with non-wage working condit...Read more...

Tuesday 24 May 2022 11:30 - 12:45

CASE Special Events

Conscious hedonism and basic needs. A thriving life that does not cost the Earth

Our model of progress appears to fail: there is no single country on Earth that has achieved a social minimum while also remaining below the ecological ceiling. The recent International Panel on Climate Change (ICPP) rep...Read more...

Thursday 26 May 2022 13:00 - 14:00

IFS/STICERD/UCL Development Work in Progress Seminar

The intergenerational impact of violence on health and family outcomes: the case of slavery

This paper investigates the intergenerational impact of violence on health and family outcomes, using as study context slavery in the French West Indies. I first show how slaves’ living condition and exposure to violence...Read more...

Thursday 26 May 2022 14:00 - 15:30

STICERD Econometrics Seminar Series

Bagged value-at-risk forecast combination

Recent developments in financial econometrics literature on joint scoring functions for Value-at-Risk and Expected Shortfall allowed for consistent implementation of statistical tests based on the Model Confidence Set (M...Read more...

Thursday 26 May 2022 15:30 - 17:00

STICERD Economic Theory Seminars

Incentive Compatibility in Dynamic Information Design

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Monday 30 May 2022 16:00 - 17:30

CEP/STICERD Applications Seminars

Taxing High-Income Earners: The Implications of Dynamic Compensation

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Tuesday 31 May 2022 17:30 - 19:00

STICERD Public Events and Lectures

Why Does Racial Inequality Persist?

In exploring the persistence of racial inequality, Glenn Loury will discuss a range of conceptual frameworks that are useful for understanding racial inequality drawing on a lifetime of work on these issues, traversing d...Read more...

Wednesday 01 June 2022 14:00 - 15:00

Joint Econometrics and Statistics Workshop

Quadratic Prediction Methodology and Calibration of Prediction Intervals Based on Subsampling

We consider nonlinear prediction of a stationary time series using quadratic functions of the past data. We derive explicit formulae for the best quadratic predictor and its MSPE. We also give conditions under which the...Read more...

Thursday 02 June 2022 15:30 - 17:00

STICERD Economic Theory Seminars

TBC

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Monday 06 June 2022 16:00 - 17:30

CEP/STICERD Applications Seminars

Voting on a Trade Agreement: Firm Networks and Attitudes Toward Openness

We exploit a natural experiment to study the extent to which popular attitudes toward trade are driven by economic fundamentals. In 2007, Costa Rica put a free trade agreement (FTA) to a national referendum. With a singl...Read more...

Wednesday 08 June 2022 12:30 - 13:30

IFS-STICERD Public Economics Seminar

Predicting Long-term Unemployment Risk

This paper uses rich administrative and survey data from Sweden to study the predictability and determinants of long-term unemployment (LTU) over the period 1992-2016. We use standard machine learning techniques to predi...Read more...

Wednesday 08 June 2022 16:30 - 18:00

CASE Social Exclusion Seminars

Migrant-origin children in Ireland: Language and reading development in early childhood

Ireland provides a useful case study into the experiences of second-generation migrants in a ‘new immigration country’ where relatively little is known about the Irish-born children of recent migrants. This talk will dis...Read more...

Thursday 09 June 2022 13:00 - 14:00

IFS/STICERD/UCL Development Work in Progress Seminar

Using third-party data to improve tax compliance in a context of low enforcement

This paper investigates a potentially cost-effective way to improve tax compliance when enforcement capacity is low, by leveraging inter-firm relationships and third-party reporting. Using rich administrative data from S...Read more...

Thursday 09 June 2022 15:30 - 17:00

STICERD Economic Theory Seminars

Sequential Veto Bargaining with Incomplete Information

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Friday 10 June 2022 09:30 - Saturday 11 June 2022 18:00

STICERD Public Events and Lectures

LSE-NYU Political Science and Political Economy annual conference

The LSE-NYU conference brings together political scientists and economists to discuss recent contributions, both theoretical and empirical, to the study of institutions, political behaviour and related social phenomena....Read more...

Monday 13 June 2022 16:00 - 17:30

CEP/STICERD Applications Seminars

Deep learning methods to curate economic data at scale

Vast amounts of data are trapped in non-computable formats, such as document image scans and text. Deep learning has the potential to greatly expand the questions that economists can study by providing rigorous methods f...Read more...

Wednesday 15 June 2022 16:30 - 18:00

CASE Social Exclusion Seminars

CASE

Fertility and the two-child limit: does cutting child benefits really affect fertility?

The two-child limit, introduced by the UK government from April 2017, restricts means-tested child-related social security support to the first two children in a household. It aimed to “to ensure that families in receipt...Read more...

Thursday 16 June 2022 13:00 - 14:00

IFS/STICERD/UCL Development Work in Progress Seminar

Legacies of Conflict and the Formation of Trust

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Thursday 16 June 2022 14:00 - 15:30

STICERD Econometrics Seminar Series

How Biased are Observational Methods in Practice? Accumulating Evidence Using Randomised Controlled Trials with Imperfect Compliance

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Thursday 16 June 2022 15:30 - 17:00

STICERD Economic Theory Seminars

Incentive Design for Talent Discovery

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Thursday 23 June 2022 13:00 - 14:00

IFS/STICERD/UCL Development Work in Progress Seminar

The Value of Collusive Relational Agreements in the Colombia Energy Sector

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Thursday 30 June 2022 13:00 - 14:00

IFS/STICERD/UCL Development Work in Progress Seminar

Father of the Bride, or Steel Magnolias? Targeting Men, Women or both to Reduce Child Marriage

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Thursday 14 July 2022 13:00 - 14:00

IFS/STICERD/UCL Development Work in Progress Seminar

Norms Replacement. A Field Experiment on Female Genital Cutting

We evaluate the effectiveness of two interventions designed to reduce the incidence of female genital cutting (FGC) among adolescent girls in Sierra Leone. In this setting, FGC is part of a ritual called Bondo, which mar...Read more...

Monday 19 September 2022 09:30 - Friday 23 September 2022 18:00

STICERD Public Events and Lectures

STICERD Economics of Environment and Energy Programme (EEE), International Growth Centre (IGC) and Programme on Innovation and Diffusion (POID)

LSE Environment Week

The Economics of Environment and Energy Programme (EEE), International Growth Centre (IGC) and Programme on Innovation and Diffusion (POID) within the LSE Economics Department will convene an Environment Week at the LSE ...Read more...