Calendar

Tuesday 19 January 2021 14:00 - 15:30

Political Science and Political Economy Research Seminar

TBC

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Tuesday 26 January 2021 14:00 - 15:30

Political Science and Political Economy Research Seminar

TBC

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Tuesday 02 February 2021 14:00 - 15:30

Political Science and Political Economy Research Seminar

Electoral Campaigns as Dynamic Contests

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Tuesday 09 February 2021 14:00 - 15:30

Political Science and Political Economy Research Seminar

TBC

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Tuesday 16 February 2021 14:00 - 15:30

Political Science and Political Economy Research Seminar

TBC

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Thursday 18 February 2021 14:00 - 15:30

STICERD Econometrics Seminar Series

Automatic debiased machine learning of causal and structural effects

Many causal and structural effects depend on regressions. Examples include policy effects, average treatment effects, causal mediation, and structural parameters of economic models. The regressions may be high dimensiona...Read more...

Monday 22 February 2021 11:30 - 13:15

CASE Special Events

What needs fixing to build back better: fault lines in the British welfare state on the eve of the pandemic

Launching the publication of a new report, The Conservative Governments' Record on Social Policy from May 2015 to pre-COVID 2020, this event will reflect on the welfare state and public services on the eve of the COVID-1...Read more...

Tuesday 23 February 2021 14:00 - 15:30

Political Science and Political Economy Research Seminar

Left Behind Voters, Anti-Elitism and Popular Will

Two common characteristics of populism are anti-elitism and favoring popular will over expertise. The recent successes of populists are often attributed to the common people, the majority of voters, being left behind by...Read more...

Wednesday 24 February 2021 16:30 - 17:30

IFS-STICERD Public Economics Seminar

Retirement Consumption and Pension Design

This paper uses patterns in consumption from Swedish administrative data to evaluate the welfare costs of increasing incentives for later retirement. We find that increasing the steepness of the pension benefits profile,...Read more...

Thursday 25 February 2021 15:30 - 17:00

STICERD Economic Theory Seminars

Two-stage majoritarian choice

We propose a class of decisive collective choice rules that rely on a linear ordering to partition the majority relation into two acyclic relations. The first relation is used to obtain a shortlist of the feasible altern...Read more...

Thursday 25 February 2021 17:00 - 18:30

STICERD Econometrics Seminar Series

Yogurts choose consumers? Estimation of random-utility models via two-sided matching

The problem of demand inversion - a crucial step in the estimation of random utility discrete-choice models - is equivalent to the determination of stable outcomes in two-sided matching models. This equivalence applies t...Read more...

Monday 01 March 2021 12:00 - 13:30

CEP/STICERD Applications Seminars

Inference for ranks with applications to mobility across neighborhoods and academic achievement across countries

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Tuesday 02 March 2021 14:00 - 15:30

Political Science and Political Economy Research Seminar

TBC

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Thursday 04 March 2021 12:30 - 17:00

IFS/STICERD/UCL Development Work in Progress Seminar

Perceived Temperature, Trust and Civil Unrest in Africa

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Thursday 04 March 2021 15:30 - 17:00

STICERD Economic Theory Seminars

Global manipulation by local obfuscation

We study information design in a regime change context. A continuum of agents simultaneously choose whether to attach the current regime and will succeed if and only if the mass of attackers outweighs the regime's streng...Read more...

Friday 05 March 2021 12:00 - 13:00

Joint Econometrics and Statistics Workshop

Censored Quantile Regression with Time Varying Covariates

We propose a class of quantile regression models for right censored failure time data with time varying covariates that requires only standard conditional independence. Using a quantile based transformation, a system of ...Read more...

Tuesday 09 March 2021 14:00 - 15:30

Political Science and Political Economy Research Seminar

TBC

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Wednesday 10 March 2021 16:30 - 17:30

IFS-STICERD Public Economics Seminar

What Are the Labor and Product Market Effects of Automation? New Evidence from France

We use comprehensive micro data in the French manufacturing sector between 1994 and 2015 to document the effects of automation technologies on employment, sales, prices, and the labor share. Causal effects are estimated ...Read more...

Wednesday 10 March 2021 16:30 - 18:00

CASE Social Exclusion Seminars

Blood, Threats and Fears: The Hidden Worlds of Hate Crime Victims

The need for improved support for victims of hate crime has become all the more apparent at a time when numbers of incidents have risen to record levels, both within the UK and beyond. This sharp increase ? and the assoc...Read more...

Thursday 11 March 2021 12:30 - 17:00

IFS/STICERD/UCL Development Work in Progress Seminar

Competition and the Aggregate Effects of Linking Frictions in Economic Networks

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Thursday 11 March 2021 14:00 - 15:30

STICERD Econometrics Seminar Series

TBC

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Thursday 11 March 2021 15:30 - 17:00

STICERD Economic Theory Seminars

Revealed Statistical Consumer Theory

We provide a microfoundation for using aggregated data (e.g. mean purchases) when evaluating consumer choice data. We present a model of statistical consumer theory where the individual maximizes their utility with respe...Read more...

Monday 15 March 2021 12:00 - 13:30

CEP/STICERD Applications Seminars

The political economy of policy experimentations in China

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Tuesday 16 March 2021 14:00 - 15:30

Political Science and Political Economy Research Seminar

TBC

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Thursday 18 March 2021 12:30 - 17:00

IFS/STICERD/UCL Development Work in Progress Seminar

Conditional Cash Transfer Program: Time, Money and Intrahousehold's Beliefs

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Thursday 18 March 2021 15:30 - 17:00

STICERD Economic Theory Seminars

Information Acquisition and Disclosure by Advisors with Hidden Motives

A sender acquires a signal about an object?s quality and commits to a rule to disclose its realizations to a receiver, who then chooses to buy the object or to keep an outside option of privately known value. Optimal dis...Read more...

Friday 19 March 2021 12:00 - 13:00

Joint Econometrics and Statistics Workshop

The time-varying evolution of inflation risks

This paper develops Bayesian inference for time series quantile regressions with time-varying parameters (TVPs). We transform the TVP quantile regression into an equivalent high-dimensional quantile regression model and ...Read more...

Monday 22 March 2021 12:00 - 13:30

CEP/STICERD Applications Seminars

Transportation, Gentrification, and Urban Mobility: The Inequality Effects of Place-Based Policies

Roads, rail, and other public transport in a city are ?place-based,? in that they are built in specific neighborhoods. Do such investments benefit the poor? If people are mobile within a city, then any such place-based i...Read more...

Tuesday 23 March 2021 14:00 - 15:30

Political Science and Political Economy Research Seminar

TBC

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Wednesday 24 March 2021 16:30 - 17:30

IFS-STICERD Public Economics Seminar

Measuring employer-to-employer reallocation

We revisit measurement of Employer-to-Employer (EE) transitions, the main engine of labor market competition and employment reallocation, in the monthly Current Population Survey (CPS). We follow Fallick and Fleischman (...Read more...

Wednesday 24 March 2021 16:30 - 18:00

CASE Social Exclusion Seminars

Black women Violence and Abuse: Working at the intersections of race, gender and other oppressions

Black British women are absent or less present in research on violence/abuse. The missing-ness or minimal presence is not only within the field of violence research, but in mental health, maternity care, history and so o...Read more...

Thursday 25 March 2021 12:30 - 17:00

IFS/STICERD/UCL Development Work in Progress Seminar

Gender Norms and Adolescent Girls' Trajectories: Evidence from a Field Experiment in India

We study the effects of two interventions designed to reduce the grip of highly restrictive gender norms on adolescent girls' education, marriage and well-being in rural Rajasthan, India. The first intervention comprised...Read more...

Thursday 25 March 2021 14:00 - 15:30

STICERD Econometrics Seminar Series

TBC

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Thursday 25 March 2021 15:30 - 17:00

STICERD Economic Theory Seminars

A network solution to robust implementation: the case of identical but unknown distributions

We consider mechanism design environments in which agents commonly know that others? types are identically distributed, but without assuming that the actual distribution is common knowledge, nor that it is known to the d...Read more...

Monday 29 March 2021 16:00 - 17:30

CEP/STICERD Applications Seminars

Employer size, referral hiring, and racial inequality: evidence from Brazil

In Brazil, nonwhite workers are less likely than white workers to be hired by high-wage employers and larger employers pay higher wages, yet nonwhite workers sort to larger employers. This pattern holds conditional on de...Read more...

Tuesday 30 March 2021 14:00 - 15:30

Political Science and Political Economy Research Seminar

A Theory of Small Campaign Contributions

Small donors are an important source of financing for political campaigns. Yet the literature focuses mainly on large donors and an influence motive. We propose a theory of consumption-motivated small donors with a key n...Read more...

Thursday 01 April 2021 12:30 - 17:00

IFS/STICERD/UCL Development Work in Progress Seminar

Wage Effects of Employer-Mediated Transfers

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Wednesday 21 April 2021 16:30 - 17:30

IFS-STICERD Public Economics Seminar

Taxing high-powered entrepreneurship

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Wednesday 05 May 2021 16:30 - 18:00

CASE Social Exclusion Seminars

Educational Inequalities and Post-pandemic Schools

Inequalities in attainment and experiences are long-established in the state school system in England, but ever-changing, particularly in this era of school disruption. This presentation will use findings from research p...Read more...

Wednesday 05 May 2021 16:30 - 17:30

IFS-STICERD Public Economics Seminar

The Economic Impacts of COVID-19: Evidence from a New Public Database Built Using Private Sector Data

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Thursday 06 May 2021 - Friday 07 May 2021 00:00

STICERD Econometrics Seminar Series

CANCELLED

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Thursday 06 May 2021 13:00 - 14:00

IFS/STICERD/UCL Development Work in Progress Seminar

Improving Infrastructure in Developing Cities: Experimental Evidence from India

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Thursday 06 May 2021 14:30 - 19:30

STICERD Public Events and Lectures

Paris-London Public Economics Conference, 6-7 May 2021

The Paris-London Public Economics conference is a two-day conference organized by faculty at the London School of Economics, Sciences Po, University College London, the Institut des Politiques Publiques, the Institute fo...Read more...

Thursday 06 May 2021 15:30 - 17:00

STICERD Economic Theory Seminars

Competitive Advertising and Pricing

We consider an oligopoly model in which each firm chooses not only its price but also its advertising strategy regarding how much product information to provide. Unlike most previous studies on advertising, we impose no ...Read more...

Friday 07 May 2021 12:00 - 13:00

Joint Econometrics and Statistics Workshop

Learning Financial Network with Misspecification via Double Regularized GMM

Financial network analysis has gained significant attention recently. The identification, estimation and inference issues are intrinsically important in understanding the underlying network structure. We try to uncover t...Read more...

Tuesday 11 May 2021 12:00 - 13:30

CEP/STICERD Applications Seminars

TBC

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Tuesday 11 May 2021 14:00 - 15:30

Political Science and Political Economy Research Seminar

The Origins of Elite Persistence: Evidence from Political Purges in post-World War II France

This paper studies the mechanisms that allow political elites from a non-democratic regime to survive a democratic transition and argues that connections is one of them. We document this phenomenon using the transition f...Read more...

Thursday 13 May 2021 13:00 - 14:00

IFS/STICERD/UCL Development Work in Progress Seminar

Ethnic Homogenization and Public Goods: Evidence from Kenya's land reform programme

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Thursday 13 May 2021 14:00 - 15:30

STICERD Econometrics Seminar Series

Adaptive, rate-optimal testing in instrumental variables models

This paper proposes simple, data-driven, optimal rate-adaptive inferences on a structural function in semi-nonparametric conditional moment restrictions. We consider two types of hypothesis tests based on leave-one-out s...Read more...

Thursday 13 May 2021 15:30 - 17:00

STICERD Economic Theory Seminars

Screening for breakthroughs

We identify a new and pervasive dynamic agency problem: that of incentivising the prompt disclosure of productive information. To study it, we introduce a model in which a technological breakthrough occurs at an uncertai...Read more...

Monday 17 May 2021 12:00 - 13:30

CEP/STICERD Applications Seminars

Family spillovers in high school majors | High school majors, comparative (dis)advantage, and future earnings

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Tuesday 18 May 2021 14:00 - 15:30

Political Science and Political Economy Research Seminar

Refugee Migration and the Politics of Redistribution: Do Supply and Demand Meet?

Voter demand for less redistribution in the face of mass migration maps into actual outcomes insofar as politicians supplying these policies respond to it. We study whether establishing new asylum-seeker centers influenc...Read more...

Wednesday 19 May 2021 16:30 - 18:00

CASE Social Exclusion Seminars

Against the Odds: Why expecting schools to overcome disadvantage is doomed to failure

Since 2011 the government has invested #21bn into improving the academic achievements of children facing socio-economic disadvantage. The `pupil premium? was intended to reduce the attainment gap between students from lo...Read more...

Wednesday 19 May 2021 16:30 - 17:30

IFS-STICERD Public Economics Seminar

Tax knowledge and tax manipulation: A unifying model

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Thursday 20 May 2021 12:00 - 13:30

CEP/STICERD Applications Seminars

What does schooling do? Cognitive endurance as human capital

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Thursday 20 May 2021 13:00 - 14:00

IFS/STICERD/UCL Development Work in Progress Seminar

Optimal Assignment of Bureaucrats: Evidence from Randomly Assigned Tax Collectors in the DRC

States regularly assign agents to teams and postings, yet rarely with the explicit goal of boosting public sector productivity. This paper asks whether a low-capacity state can improve performance through the optimal...Read more...

Thursday 20 May 2021 14:00 - 15:30

STICERD Econometrics Seminar Series

CANCELLED

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Thursday 20 May 2021 15:30 - 17:00

STICERD Economic Theory Seminars

Subjective Causality in Choice

An agent makes a stochastic choice from a set of lotteries. She infers the outcomes of her options using a subjective causal model represented by a directed acyclic graph, and consequently may misinterpret correlation as...Read more...

Monday 24 May 2021 12:00 - 13:30

CEP/STICERD Applications Seminars

The origins and content of new work, 1940-2018

Recent theory stresses the role of new job types (`new work?) in counterbalancing the erosive effect of task-displacing automation on labor demand. We study new work by building a novel nearly century-long inventory of n...Read more...

Tuesday 25 May 2021 14:00 - 15:30

Political Science and Political Economy Research Seminar

Exposing the revolving door in executive branch agencies

We develop the first comprehensive mapping of the revolving door phenomenon in the U.S. by examining the work experience in executive branch agencies of 1,910,150 individuals covering top corporate positions in 373,011 f...Read more...

Thursday 27 May 2021 13:00 - 14:00

IFS/STICERD/UCL Development Work in Progress Seminar

Interest-Based Negotiation over Natural Resources: Experimental Evidence from Liberia

Over the last two decades, developing countries have seen a sharp increase in external demand for land and other natural resources. Despite hopes that these outside investments would spur local development, host communit...Read more...

Thursday 27 May 2021 15:30 - 17:00

STICERD Economic Theory Seminars

Post-liberalisation India Has Become More Unequal

Bitcoin provides its users with transaction-processing services which are similar to those of traditional payment systems. This article models the novel economic structure implied by Bitcoin?s innovative decentralized de...Read more...

Tuesday 01 June 2021 14:00 - 15:30

Political Science and Political Economy Research Seminar

TBC

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Thursday 03 June 2021 13:00 - 14:00

IFS/STICERD/UCL Development Work in Progress Seminar

Pro-Poor Transfers and Economic Preferences of the Rich and Poor: Evidence from a Four Year Partial Population Experiment.

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Thursday 03 June 2021 15:00 - 16:30

STICERD Econometrics Seminar Series

Universal Prediction Band, Semi-Definite Programming and Variance Interpolation

A frequent criticism from the statistics community to modern machine learning is the lack of rigorous uncertainty quantification. Instead, the machine learning community would argue that conventional uncertainty quantifi...Read more...

Thursday 03 June 2021 15:30 - 17:00

STICERD Economic Theory Seminars

Online Appendix to Optimal Technology Design: Risk-averse Agent

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Monday 07 June 2021 12:00 - 13:30

CEP/STICERD Applications Seminars

New Work or Changes in Reporting? A Framework for Measuring Self-Employment Trends in Administrative Data

Changes in self-employment rates may reflect changes in the structure of the labor market and the extent of entrepreneurial activity in the broader economy. Increasingly, researchers are looking to administrative tax mea...Read more...

Tuesday 08 June 2021 14:00 - 15:30

Political Science and Political Economy Research Seminar

Reelection can Increase Legislative Cohesion: Evidence from Clientelistic Parties in Mexico

It is often argued that when legislators have electoral incentives to cultivate personal votes, parties are less cohesive. This is because legislators have an alternative principal with whom they must build bonds of acco...Read more...

Thursday 10 June 2021 13:00 - 14:00

IFS/STICERD/UCL Development Work in Progress Seminar

Tax Evasion and the Minimum Wage

Can tax evasion justify high but taxed minimum wages? Exploiting a change in reporting defaults and the implied audit threat in Hungary, we demonstrate that a substantial portion of those who declare the minimum wage hav...Read more...

Thursday 10 June 2021 15:30 - 17:00

STICERD Economic Theory Seminars

Information Acquisition, Efficiency, and Non-Fundamental Volatility?

This paper analyzes non-fundamental volatility and efficiency in a class of large games (including e.g. linear-quadratic beauty contests) that feature strategic interaction and endogenous information acquisition. We adop...Read more...

Monday 14 June 2021 12:00 - 13:30

CEP/STICERD Applications Seminars

How the 1963 Equal Pay Act and 1964 Civil Rights Act Shaped the U.S. Gender Gap

In the 1960s, two landmark pieces of legislation targeted the long-standing practice of labor-market discrimination against U.S. women. The Equal Pay Act of 1963 mandated equal pay for equal work, and Title VII of the Ci...Read more...

Wednesday 16 June 2021 16:30 - 18:00

CASE Social Exclusion Seminars

Children?s Life-histories In Primary Schooling [CLIPS]: Persevering in exclusion?

This presentation explores the experiences of children designated as `lower-attaining? in British primary schooling. It draws on Nancy Fraser?s (2008) conceptualisation of a global shift from government via nation-state...Read more...

Wednesday 16 June 2021 16:30 - 17:30

IFS-STICERD Public Economics Seminar

Price Theory for Incomplete Markets

In this paper, we derive formulas expressing the elasticity of individual consumption to changes in current and future interest rates and income in incomplete market models. We generalize the existing price theory formul...Read more...

Thursday 17 June 2021 13:00 - 14:00

IFS/STICERD/UCL Development Work in Progress Seminar

Responsible Sourcing? Theory and Evidence from Costa Rica

The adoption of Responsible Sourcing (RS) requirements by multinational enterprises (MNEs) include minimum standards on wages, benefits, working conditions and other production practices at their suppliers worldwide. Des...Read more...

Thursday 17 June 2021 15:30 - 17:00

STICERD Economic Theory Seminars

Agency-Constrained Information Design: Regulating Financial Analysts

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Wednesday 23 June 2021 16:00 - 17:00

STICERD Public Events and Lectures

STICERD Morishima Lecture: Awakening the Giant Beast: from pandemic to economic recovery

How does the Biden-Harris Administration evaluate the current state and growth trajectory of the U.S. economy as it emerges from the COVID-19 pandemic? How are the Administration?s plans to expand infrastructure investme...Read more...

Wednesday 23 June 2021 16:30 - 17:30

IFS-STICERD Public Economics Seminar

Structural transformation and U-shaped female employment

We build a consistent measure of female employment for the US over the last one hundred and fifty years -- encompassing intensive and extensive margins -- combining data from the US population Census and several early st...Read more...

Thursday 24 June 2021 13:00 - 14:00

IFS/STICERD/UCL Development Work in Progress Seminar

Ripple Effects of Conflict: Spatial Propagation through Prices in Somalia

This paper estimates spatial spill-over effects of conflict by considering food prices as a propagating mechanism for food security in Somalia. Exploiting geo-coded data on violent incidents and the food logistics networ...Read more...

Wednesday 07 July 2021 16:30 - 18:00

CASE Social Exclusion Seminars

Great Mistakes in Education Policy: and how to avoid them in the future

Can a clear view of what?s gone wrong in the past help forge a new consensus about the policy directions of the future? In this seminar, Ruth Lupton will talk about her new book with Debra Hayes: Great Mistakes in Educa...Read more...

Thursday 08 July 2021 09:30 - 18:00

STICERD Public Events and Lectures

Ninth Meeting of the Society for the Study of Economic Inequality

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Thursday 23 September 2021 12:30 - 14:00

IFS/STICERD/UCL Development Work in Progress Seminar

AI-tocracy

Can frontier innovation be sustained under autocracy? We argue that innovation and autocracy can be mutually reinforcing when: (i) the new technology bolsters the autocrat's power; and (ii) autocrats' spending on the n...Read more...

Thursday 30 September 2021 12:30 - 14:00

IFS/STICERD/UCL Development Work in Progress Seminar

Organising Development

People are poor because their labor is not paid enough to afford basic needs. To understand development we need to understand the jobs of the poor and how they change over the development path. The traditional view of de...Read more...

Thursday 30 September 2021 15:30 - 17:00

STICERD Economic Theory Seminars & STICERD Economic Theory Seminars

Costly monitoring in signaling games

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Tuesday 05 October 2021 14:00 - 15:30

Political Science and Political Economy Research Seminar & Political Science and Political Economy Research Seminar

The Social Bureaucrat: How Social Proximity among Bureaucrats Affects Local Governance

Most studies that examine subnational variations in public services associate low government performance with a lack of accountability. I instead offer a capacity-based explanation. Specifically, I develop a theory based...Read more...

Thursday 07 October 2021 11:00 - 12:00

CASE Special Events

Stick or Shift? Attitudes towards inequality, the Welfare State and social security benefits during COVID-19

What can we learn about (public) attitudes towards aspects of the welfare state in the context of the COVID-19 pandemic? It is a now well-rehearsed observation that the pandemic has created unprecedented social condition...Read more...

Thursday 07 October 2021 12:30 - 14:00

IFS/STICERD/UCL Development Work in Progress Seminar & IFS/STICERD/UCL Development Work in Progress Seminar

Political Reservations as Term Limits

While political reservations aim to ensure a more equal representation for women and disadvantaged groups, they also impose effective term limits on many incumbent politicians who would otherwise have had a chance to con...Read more...

Thursday 07 October 2021 15:30 - 17:00

STICERD Economic Theory Seminars & STICERD Economic Theory Seminars

Efficient Investment and Search in Matching Markets

We study a two-sided search-and-matching model in which agents invest before entry. In every period, agents incur an additive search cost, pairs meet at random and bargain over prices. Inefficiencies can be caused by a p...Read more...

Tuesday 12 October 2021 14:00 - 15:30

Political Science and Political Economy Research Seminar & Political Science and Political Economy Research Seminar

Echo Chamber Elections

Elections aggregate information of citizens who gather information, in part from mainstream news, but possibly to a large extent from their different echo chambers which filter news in particular ways. We study informati...Read more...

Thursday 14 October 2021 12:30 - 14:00

IFS/STICERD/UCL Development Work in Progress Seminar

Relational Contracts and Development

The first part of the talk will be based on this review paper (see link below). In the second part, he hopes to receive feedback on a new, closely related, RCT he is undertaking in partnership with a coffee MNC in Rwanda...Read more...

Thursday 14 October 2021 15:30 - 17:00

STICERD Economic Theory Seminars & STICERD Economic Theory Seminars

Conjugate Persuasion

We consider a class of persuasion games in which the sender has rank-dependent preferences. Like much of the recent Bayesian persuasion literature, we assume the receiver?s action depends only on her posterior expectatio...Read more...

Tuesday 19 October 2021 14:00 - 15:30

Political Science and Political Economy Research Seminar & Political Science and Political Economy Research Seminar

Political Competence and Electoral Competition

How does politician competence, conceptualized as the ability to effectively implement policies, affect campaign platforms and electoral competition? We develop a framework where politicians differ in terms of ideologica...Read more...

Wednesday 20 October 2021 16:30 - 18:00

CASE Social Exclusion Seminars & CASE Social Exclusion Seminars

The scale and drivers of inequalities in and by mental health

In this talk, some recent evidence related to the extent of inequalities in adolescent mental health by various different socio-demographic indicators (sex/gender, ethnicity, sexuality, socioeconomic) will be presented, ...Read more...

Thursday 21 October 2021 12:30 - 14:00

IFS/STICERD/UCL Development Work in Progress Seminar & IFS/STICERD/UCL Development Work in Progress Seminar

Long-Run Impacts of In-Utero Ramadan Exposure: Evidence from Administrative Tax Records

Using Ramadan fasting as a natural experiment, we estimate the long-run impacts of health and nutrition shocks experienced during pregnancy on adult outcomes. We exploit administrative tax return data comprising the univ...Read more...

Thursday 21 October 2021 15:30 - 17:00

STICERD Economic Theory Seminars & STICERD Economic Theory Seminars

Coasian Dynamics Under Informational Robustness

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Tuesday 26 October 2021 14:00 - 15:30

Political Science and Political Economy Research Seminar & Political Science and Political Economy Research Seminar

The Management of the Pandemic and its Effects on Trust and Accountability

The management of the COVID-19 pandemic represented one of the greatest challenges that policymakers had to face in recent history. The rapidly changing reality and directives may have contributed to a popular perception...Read more...

Wednesday 27 October 2021 12:30 - 13:45

IFS-STICERD Public Economics Seminar & IFS-STICERD Public Economics Seminar

Firms, Informality and the Spatial Effects of Labor Market Shocks: Evidence from the Syrian Refugees in Turkey

This paper develops a new framework to analyse the effects of labor market shocks in developing economies and their distribution across space. It incorporates some of the key features of these countries, in particular th...Read more...

Thursday 28 October 2021 12:30 - 14:00

IFS/STICERD/UCL Development Work in Progress Seminar & IFS/STICERD/UCL Development Work in Progress Seminar

Subjective Expectations and Demand for Contraception

One-quarter of married, fertile-age women in Sub-Saharan Africa report not wanting a pregnancy and yet do not use contraceptives. The presentation will cover both our completed project on ?Subjective Expectations and D...Read more...

Thursday 28 October 2021 15:30 - 17:00

STICERD Economic Theory Seminars & STICERD Economic Theory Seminars

Moderate Expected Utility

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Monday 01 November 2021 16:00 - 17:30

CEP/STICERD Applications Seminars & CEP/STICERD Applications Seminars

Where is Standard of Living the Highest? Local Prices and the Geography of Consumption

There are large differences in mean income across US cities, but little is known about the levels of standard of living in each city?defined as the amount of market-based consumption that residents are able to afford. In...Read more...

Tuesday 02 November 2021 14:00 - 15:30

Political Science and Political Economy Research Seminar & Political Science and Political Economy Research Seminar

TBC

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Wednesday 03 November 2021 16:30 - 17:30

IFS-STICERD Public Economics Seminar & IFS-STICERD Public Economics Seminar

Racial inequality in the U.S. unemployment insurance

In the U.S., the rules commanding the rights to unemployment insurance (UI) are less generous in states with larger Black populations, which means that Black claimants systematically receive less UI than White claimants ...Read more...

Thursday 04 November 2021 12:30 - 14:00

IFS/STICERD/UCL Development Work in Progress Seminar & IFS/STICERD/UCL Development Work in Progress Seminar

Fiscal Capacity and Public Spending: Historical Evidence from U.S. Cities

This paper explores the importance of sources of revenue for local public spending. Using newly collected data on municipal finances for more than 300 U.S. cities over 1910-1936, I leverage information on revenue flow fr...Read more...

Thursday 04 November 2021 15:30 - 17:00

STICERD Economic Theory Seminars & STICERD Economic Theory Seminars

Screening and Information-Sharing Externalities

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Monday 08 November 2021 16:00 - 17:30

CEP/STICERD Applications Seminars & CEP/STICERD Applications Seminars

Public Subsidies, Political Discretion, and Policy Effectiveness

We estimate the effects of a large program of public investment subsidies to private firms in Italy. Investment projects presented by firms were ranked by numerical scores reflecting both objective measures of project qu...Read more...

Tuesday 09 November 2021 14:00 - 15:30

Political Science and Political Economy Research Seminar & Political Science and Political Economy Research Seminar

TBC

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Wednesday 10 November 2021 12:30 - 14:00

STICERD Public Events and Lectures

COVID-19 vs. the Ultra-Poor Graduation Approach: Evidence from Bangladesh

This event will bring to light the latest findings by BIGD and LSE on the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on the 2007 cohort of beneficiaries of BRAC?s UPG program in rural areas of Bangladesh. The speakers, alongside a ...Read more...

Wednesday 10 November 2021 16:30 - 18:00

CASE Social Exclusion Seminars & CASE Social Exclusion Seminars

The NHS, schools, and social care in the four nations of the UK: how do they compare?

Devolution afforded Scotland, Wales and Northern Ireland the opportunity to manage public services differently from the approach taken in England. The devolved governments have now had control of services for over twenty...Read more...

Thursday 11 November 2021 12:30 - 14:00

IFS/STICERD/UCL Development Work in Progress Seminar & IFS/STICERD/UCL Development Work in Progress Seminar

Revealed Beliefs and the Marriage Market Return to Education

This paper explores how parents in Rajasthan, India decide how long to keep a daughter in school and when, and to who, to get her married. We develop a dynamic model of parental decision making in which parents take scho...Read more...

Thursday 11 November 2021 15:30 - 17:00

STICERD Economic Theory Seminars & STICERD Economic Theory Seminars

Dynamic Incentives in Incompletely Specified Environments

Consider a repeated interaction where it is unknown which of various stage games will be played each period. This framework captures the logic of intertemporal incentives even though numeric payoffs to any strategy prof...Read more...

Monday 15 November 2021 16:00 - 17:30

CEP/STICERD Applications Seminars

Regulating Untaxable Externalities: Are Vehicle Air Pollution Standards Effective and Efficient?

What is a feasible and efficient policy to regulate air pollution from vehicles? A Pigouvian tax is technologically infeasible. Most countries instead rely on exhaust standards that limit air pollution emissions per mile...Read more...

Tuesday 16 November 2021 14:00 - 15:30

Political Science and Political Economy Research Seminar & Political Science and Political Economy Research Seminar

Gender Attitudes in the Judiciary: Evidence from U.S. Circuit Courts

Do gender attitudes influence interactions with female judges in U.S. Circuit Courts? In this paper, we propose a novel judge-specific measure of gender attitudes based on use of gender-stereotyped language in the judge?...Read more...

Wednesday 17 November 2021 16:30 - 17:30

IFS-STICERD Public Economics Seminar & IFS-STICERD Public Economics Seminar

Where Does Wealth Come From?

Much attention has been given to rising wealth inequality in recent decades. However, understanding inequality requires an understanding of how wealth relates to the potential wealth an individual could accumulate and w...Read more...

Thursday 18 November 2021 12:30 - 14:00

IFS/STICERD/UCL Development Work in Progress Seminar & IFS/STICERD/UCL Development Work in Progress Seminar

Bayesian models for stable subgroup treatment effects: an analysis of six graduation studies

Broadly successful interventions such as the Graduation program may still exhibit treatment effect heterogeneity across subgroups and across study contexts. Yet effectively using estimated subgroup effects to inform targ...Read more...

Thursday 18 November 2021 14:00 - 15:30

STICERD Econometrics Seminar Series & STICERD Econometrics Seminar Series

Demand and Welfare Analysis in Discrete Choice Models with Social Interactions

Many real-life settings of individual choice involve social interactions, causing targeted policies to have spillover effects. This paper develops novel empirical tools for analyzing demand and welfare effects of policy ...Read more...

Thursday 18 November 2021 15:30 - 17:00

STICERD Economic Theory Seminars & STICERD Economic Theory Seminars

Making Decisions under Model Misspecification

We use decision theory to confront uncertainty that is sufficiently broad to incorporate ?models as approximations.? We presume the existence of a featured collection of what we call ?structured models? that have explici...Read more...

Monday 22 November 2021 16:00 - 17:30

CEP/STICERD Applications Seminars & CEP/STICERD Applications Seminars

Achieving Scale Collectively

This paper argues that rental market interactions allow small firms to increase their effective scale and mechanize production, even when each individual firm would be too small to invest in expensive machines. We conduc...Read more...

Tuesday 23 November 2021 14:00 - 15:30

Political Science and Political Economy Research Seminar & Political Science and Political Economy Research Seminar

TBC

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Thursday 25 November 2021 12:30 - 14:00

IFS/STICERD/UCL Development Work in Progress Seminar

Rural to Urban Migration, Informality and Firm Dynamics

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Thursday 25 November 2021 14:00 - 15:30

STICERD Econometrics Seminar Series

Optimal Dynamic Treatment Regimes and Partial Welfare Ordering

Dynamic treatment regimes are treatment allocations tailored to heterogeneous individuals. The optimal dynamic treatment regime is a regime that maximizes counterfactual welfare. We introduce a framework in which we can ...Read more...

Thursday 25 November 2021 15:30 - 17:00

STICERD Economic Theory Seminars

Dynamic persuasion and games with Incomplete Information on one side

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Monday 29 November 2021 16:00 - 17:30

CEP/STICERD Applications Seminars

CANCELLED

Survey evidence suggests that domestic violence is widespread. However, no evidence exists to date on the impact of cohabitating with an abuser on women?s labour market outcomes. We match police records on all crime repo...Read more...

Tuesday 30 November 2021 14:00 - 15:30

Political Science and Political Economy Research Seminar

Reading Twitter in the Newsroom: Web 2.0 and Traditional-Media Reporting of Conflicts

User-generated online content changes traditional-media news on conflicts. Online posts by citizen journalists ? first-hand witnesses of conflict events ? change the extent, tonality, and content of traditional-media rep...Read more...

Thursday 02 December 2021 12:30 - 14:00

IFS/STICERD/UCL Development Work in Progress Seminar

How to Reveal 21% of GDP in Hidden Assets: Evidence from Argentina's Tax Amnesties

Tax amnesties are a controversial and widely-used policy tool to encourage evaders to disclose income or wealth in exchange for reduced penalties and no prosecution. We investigate the effectiveness of tax amnesties leve...Read more...

Thursday 02 December 2021 14:00 - 15:30

STICERD Econometrics Seminar Series

Standard Errors for Two-Way Clustering with Serially Correlated Time Effects

We propose improved standard errors and an asymptotic distribution theory for two-way clustered panels. Our proposed estimator and theory allow for arbitrary serial dependence in the common time effects, which is exclude...Read more...

Monday 06 December 2021 16:00 - 17:30

CEP/STICERD Applications Seminars

Navigating Stormy Waters: Crises, Selection, and Productivity Dynamics Under Financial Frictions

We build a growth model with heterogeneous firms that endogenizes productivity growth, firm selection, and borrowing under financial frictions. In particular, facing an incomplete financial market with endogenous (firm-s...Read more...

Tuesday 07 December 2021 14:00 - 15:30

Political Science and Political Economy Research Seminar

TBC

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Wednesday 08 December 2021 12:30 - 13:45

IFS-STICERD Public Economics Seminar

Capital Taxation and Entrepreneurship

Policymakers often want to encourage entrepreneurial activity. Commonly, they do this through preferential tax rates on business income, but these come with a substantial tax revenue cost. We develop a dynamic model of b...Read more...

Thursday 09 December 2021 12:30 - 14:00

IFS/STICERD/UCL Development Work in Progress Seminar

The Geography of Structural Transformation: Effects on Inequality and Mobility

Economies transform at an uneven pace: San Jose's meteoric rise coexists with Detroit's slow decline. This paper develops a dynamic overlapping generations model of economic geography to explain variation in structural...Read more...

Thursday 09 December 2021 14:00 - 15:30

STICERD Econometrics Seminar Series

Inference in Regression Discontinuity Designs with High-Dimensional Covariates

We study regression discontinuity designs in which many covariates, possibly much more than the number of observations, are available. In such settings, it is not feasible to feed all covariates in a standard procedure f...Read more...

Thursday 09 December 2021 15:30 - 17:00

STICERD Economic Theory Seminars

CANCELLED

Much of the work on auction theory focuses on design aspects in situations motivated by formally organized auctions, like those held by government agencies. However, auction models are also convenient abstractions of les...Read more...

Monday 13 December 2021 16:00 - 17:30

CEP/STICERD Applications Seminars

The Impact of Payroll Tax Subsidies: Theory and Evidence

We study the employment and wage effects of age-dependent payroll tax subsidies for both younger (under 25) and older (over 55) workers using a policy change in Hungary. Using rich administrative data and a difference-in...Read more...

Thursday 16 December 2021 12:30 - 14:00

IFS/STICERD/UCL Development Work in Progress Seminar

POSTPONED

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Friday 14 January 2022 14:30 - 17:00

STICERD Public Events and Lectures

Hub for Equal Representation in the Economy Launch event: Making Equality Work

The Hub for Equal Representation in the economy will be officially launched the 14th of January 2022. Prominent academics and business leaders will come together for this event and share knowledge and strategies to set t...Read more...

Tuesday 25 January 2022 14:00 - 15:30

Political Science and Political Economy Research Seminar

Accountability under political polarization

Political polarization, by distorting how citizens process objective information about government performance, can undermine electoral accountability. We study whether citizens in a highly polarized environment can be nu...Read more...

Tuesday 01 February 2022 14:00 - 15:30

Political Science and Political Economy Research Seminar

Interest-based Negotiation over Natural Resources

Over the last two decades, developing countries have seen a sharp increase in external demand for land and other natural resources. Despite hopes that these outside investments would spur local development, host communit...Read more...

Wednesday 02 February 2022 16:30 - 18:00

CASE Social Exclusion Seminars

Neurodiversity at Work - Opportunity or Exploitation?

In this talk Dr Doyle, from the Centre for Neurodiversity Research at Work will discuss both sides of the Neurodiversity Movement coin. A seemingly new narrative in employment and the business press, the Neurodiversity p...Read more...

Tuesday 08 February 2022 14:00 - 15:30

Political Science and Political Economy Research Seminar

Hosting Media Bias: Evidence from the Universe of French Broadcasts, 2002-2020

What role do journalists play in slanting media content? Because media bias can crucially impact political and social outcomes, we study the relative role of journalists and owners in shaping media slant. To do so, we bu...Read more...

Friday 11 February 2022 12:00 - 13:00

Joint Econometrics and Statistics Workshop

Debiased Inverse Propensity Score Weighting for Estimation of Average Treatment Effects with High-Dimensional Confounders

Please register to attend: https://lse.zoom.us/j/82688220867...Read more...

Monday 14 February 2022 16:00 - 17:30

CEP/STICERD Applications Seminars

Transhumant Pastoralism, Climate Change, and Conflict in Africa

We consider the effects of climate change on seasonally migrant populations that herd livestock i.e. transhumant pastoralists in Africa. Traditionally, transhumant pastoralists benefit from a cooperative relationship wit...Read more...

Tuesday 15 February 2022 14:00 - 15:30

Political Science and Political Economy Research Seminar

Can We Sustainedly Inoculate Individuals Against Misinformation in the Global South

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Friday 18 February 2022 12:00 - 13:00

Joint Econometrics and Statistics Workshop

Matching for causal effects via multimarginal optimal transport

Please register to attend: https://lse.zoom.us/j/81404118660...Read more...

Monday 21 February 2022 16:00 - 17:30

CEP/STICERD Applications Seminars

Organized Crime and Economic Growth: Evidence from Municipalities Infiltrated by the Mafia

This paper studies the long-run economic impact of dismissing city councils infiltrated by organized crime. Applying a matched difference-in-differences design to the universe of Italian social security records, we find ...Read more...

Tuesday 22 February 2022 14:00 - 15:30

Political Science and Political Economy Research Seminar

How Does the State Replace the Community? Experimental Evidence on Crime Control from South Africa

Throughout the developing world, citizens often rely on mechanisms other than the state?s justice system to deal with crime. A common form of informal crime control is mob vigilantism, the physical punishment of criminal...Read more...

Thursday 24 February 2022 12:30 - 14:00

IFS/STICERD/UCL Development Work in Progress Seminar

TBC

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Thursday 24 February 2022 14:00 - 15:30

STICERD Econometrics Seminar Series

TBC

We provide a decision theoretic analysis of bandit experiments. The bandit setting corresponds to a dynamic programming problem, but solving this directly is typically infeasible. Working within the framework of diffusio...Read more...

Thursday 24 February 2022 15:30 - 17:00

STICERD Economic Theory Seminars

Redistributive Allocation Mechanisms

Many scarce public resources are allocated at below-market-clearing prices, and sometimes for free. Such ?non-market? mechanisms necessarily sacrifice some surplus, yet they can potentially improve equity. In this paper,...Read more...

Monday 28 February 2022 16:00 - 17:30

CEP/STICERD Applications Seminars

Worker Beliefs About Outside Options

Workers wrongly anchor their beliefs about outside options on their current wage. In particular, low-paid workers underestimate wages elsewhere. We document this anchoring bias by eliciting workers? beliefs in a represe...Read more...

Tuesday 01 March 2022 14:00 - 15:30

Political Science and Political Economy Research Seminar

TBC

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Thursday 03 March 2022 12:30 - 17:00

IFS/STICERD/UCL Development Work in Progress Seminar

To invest or not to invest in sanitation: the role of intra-household gender differences in perceptions and bargaining power

We exploit novel data collected within a randomised controlled trial of a sanitation microcredit intervention to study how intra-household gender differences in perceptions of costs and benefits of sanitation impact inve...Read more...

Thursday 03 March 2022 15:30 - 17:00

STICERD Economic Theory Seminars

Simultaneous Search and Adverse Selection

We study the effect of diminishing search frictions in markets with adverse selection by presenting a model in which agents with private information can simultaneously contact multiple trading partners. We highlight a ne...Read more...

Monday 07 March 2022 16:00 - 17:30

CEP/STICERD Applications Seminars

Food vs. Food Stamps: Evidence from an At-Scale Experiment in Indonesia

Governments seeking to provide food assistance have a choice between providing in-kind food directly to beneficiaries, or providing vouchers that can be used to purchase food on the market. To understand the differences ...Read more...

Tuesday 08 March 2022 14:00 - 15:30

Political Science and Political Economy Research Seminar

TBC

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Wednesday 09 March 2022 16:30 - 18:00

CASE Social Exclusion Seminars

Repeat performances: SEND, Exclusions and minority young people

This talk discusses the long history of children and young people from minority (especially Black Caribbean) backgrounds excluded from mainstream schooling. From the ESN scandals of the 19760s and 1970s to the numbers of...Read more...

Thursday 10 March 2022 13:00 - 14:00

IFS/STICERD/UCL Development Work in Progress Seminar

Flushing out bad equilibria - Evidence from maintenance of public infrastructure in India

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Thursday 10 March 2022 14:00 - 15:30

STICERD Econometrics Seminar Series

High Dimensional Forecast Combinations Under Latent Structures

This paper presents a novel high dimensional forecast combination estimator in the presence of many forecasts and potential latent group structures. The new algorithm, which we call l2-relaxation, minimizes the squared l...Read more...

Thursday 10 March 2022 15:30 - 17:00

STICERD Economic Theory Seminars

Local Evidence and Diversity in Minipublics

We study optimal minipublic design with endogenous evidence. A policymaker selects a group of citizens?a minipublic?for advice on the desirability of a policy. Citizens can discover local evidence but might be deterred b...Read more...

Monday 14 March 2022 16:00 - 17:30

CEP/STICERD Applications Seminars

Technology Lock-In and Optimal Carbon Pricing

This paper studies the implications of low energy prices today for energy efficiency and climate policy in the future. If adjustment costs mediate manufacturing plants? responses to increases in energy prices, incumbents...Read more...

Tuesday 15 March 2022 14:00 - 15:30

Political Science and Political Economy Research Seminar

Who Watches the Watchmen? Local News and Police Behavior in the United States

Do U.S. municipal police departments respond to news coverage of local crime? We address this question exploiting an exogenous shock to local crime reporting induced by acquisitions of local TV stations by a large broadc...Read more...

Wednesday 16 March 2022 12:30 - 14:00

IFS-STICERD Public Economics Seminar

Systemic Discrimination Among Large U.S. Employers

We study the results of a massive nationwide correspondence experiment sending more than 83,000 fictitious applications with randomized characteristics to geographically dispersed jobs posted by 108 of the largest U.S. e...Read more...

Thursday 17 March 2022 12:30 - 17:00

IFS/STICERD/UCL Development Work in Progress Seminar

Constructive Extraction? - Encomienda, the Colonial State, and Development in Colombia

The Spanish encomienda, a colonial forced-labor institution that lasted three centuries, killed many indigenous people and caused others to flee into nomadism. And yet we show that Colombian municipalities with encomien...Read more...

Thursday 17 March 2022 14:00 - 15:30

STICERD Econometrics Seminar Series

Moment Conditions for Dynamic Panel Logit Models with Fixed Effects

This paper builds on Bonhomme (2012) to develop a method to systematically construct moment conditions for dynamic panel data logit models with fixed effects. After introducing the moment conditions obtained in this way,...Read more...

Thursday 17 March 2022 15:30 - 17:00

STICERD Economic Theory Seminars

Auctions with Frictions

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Tuesday 22 March 2022 14:00 - 15:30

Political Science and Political Economy Research Seminar

CANCELLED: Building State Capacity: What is the Impact of Development Projects?

Although research has established the importance of state capacity in economic development, less is known about how to build that capacity and the role of external partners in the process. This paper estimates the impact...Read more...

Thursday 24 March 2022 12:30 - 14:00

IFS/STICERD/UCL Development Work in Progress Seminar

Consumer Search and Firm Location: Evidence from the Garment Sector in Uganda

In low-income cities economic activity is spatially concentrated, with firms in the same sector operating next to one another in informal clusters. Typical explanations for firm agglomeration relate to positive productio...Read more...

Thursday 24 March 2022 15:30 - 17:00

STICERD Economic Theory Seminars

Optimal Political Career Dynamics

e examine politicians? career dynamics generated by political accountability, characterizing voter-optimal equilibrium play under repeated moral hazard. When moral hazard binds, equilibrium play is non-stationary: Re-el...Read more...

Friday 25 March 2022 12:00 - 13:00

Joint Econometrics and Statistics Workshop

Flexible Covariate Adjustments in Regression Discontinuity Designs

Empirical regression discontinuity (RD) studies often use covariates to increase the precision of their estimates. In this paper, we propose a novel class of estimators that use such covariate information more efficientl...Read more...

Monday 28 March 2022 16:00 - 17:30

CEP/STICERD Applications Seminars

The Political-Economic Causes of the Soviet Great Famine, 1932-33

This study constructs a large dataset with newly collected archival data to investigate the causes of Ukrainian mortality during the Soviet Famine, 1932-33. First, we document that the regime set higher grain production ...Read more...

Monday 28 March 2022 18:00 - 19:00

STICERD Public Events and Lectures

What role does social identity play in politics?

What is social identity? What role does it play in politics? In the inaugural annual LSE Political Science and Political Economy public lecture, Moses Shayo will discuss how individuals associate themselves and identify ...Read more...

Tuesday 29 March 2022 14:00 - 15:30

Political Science and Political Economy Research Seminar

TBC

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Thursday 31 March 2022 13:00 - 14:00

IFS/STICERD/UCL Development Work in Progress Seminar

Input Sourcing in Lopsided Low-income Economies

Input sourcing is central to the process of economic development. Using transaction-level data on the universe of formal, firm-to-firm and firm-to-foreign country trade in Uganda---a landlocked, low-income country---we f...Read more...

Thursday 31 March 2022 14:00 - 15:30

STICERD Econometrics Seminar Series

Slow Movers in Panel Data

This Panel data often contain stayers (units with no within-variations) and slow movers (units with little within-variations). In the presence of many slow movers, conventional econometric methods can fail to work. We pr...Read more...

Thursday 31 March 2022 15:30 - 17:00

STICERD Economic Theory Seminars

TBC

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Thursday 28 April 2022 13:00 - 14:00

IFS/STICERD/UCL Development Work in Progress Seminar

Effect of Health Insurance in India: A Randomized Controlled Trial

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Wednesday 04 May 2022 12:30 - 13:30

IFS-STICERD Public Economics Seminar

Targeting Precision Medicine: Evidence from Prenatal Screening

Technological advances in medicine increasingly offer opportunities to target care to patients identified through screening, raising questions of how broadly to screen for potential cases of disease. We explore this trad...Read more...

Thursday 05 May 2022 13:00 - 14:00

IFS/STICERD/UCL Development Work in Progress Seminar

Tax Audits Under Weak Fiscal Capacity: Experimental Evidence from Senegal

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Thursday 05 May 2022 15:30 - 17:00

STICERD Economic Theory Seminars

Communication Under Scrutiny

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Monday 09 May 2022 16:00 - 17:30

CEP/STICERD Applications Seminars

Traditional Supernatural Beliefs and Prosocial Behavior

In sub-Saharan Africa, traditional supernatural beliefs, including belief in witchcraft, black magic, or fetishism, are widespread. Some have hypothesized that these beliefs help to sustain cooperative behavior in a sett...Read more...

Thursday 12 May 2022 13:00 - 14:00

IFS/STICERD/UCL Development Work in Progress Seminar

Charismatic Leaders and Nation-Building

This paper investigates the role of individual leaders in constructing a national identity. I study the activities and legacy of Mustafa Kemal ?Ataturk?, the founder of modern Turkey. I create a novel historical database...Read more...

Thursday 12 May 2022 14:00 - 15:30

STICERD Econometrics Seminar Series

Robust Estimation and Inference in Panels with Interactive Fixed Effects

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Thursday 12 May 2022 15:30 - 17:00

STICERD Economic Theory Seminars

Mechanisms without transfers for fully biased agents

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Monday 16 May 2022 16:00 - 17:30

CEP/STICERD Applications Seminars

"Compensate the Losers?" Economy-policy preferences and partisan realignment in the US

Why have less educated voters abandoned center-left parties in rich democracies in recent decades? While much recent literature highlights the role of cultural issues, we argue that, at least in the US, the Democratic Pa...Read more...

Wednesday 18 May 2022 12:30 - 13:30

IFS-STICERD Public Economics Seminar

Pregnancy Loss: Stress, Investment, and Subsequent Children

Pregnancy loss, which affects about 1 in 4 pregnancies, is often a traumatic, although unacknowledged, event which may alter prenatal stress and investments in subsequent pregnancies. Using Norwegian registry data, we ex...Read more...

Thursday 19 May 2022 13:00 - 14:00

IFS/STICERD/UCL Development Work in Progress Seminar

Votes for Women: What drives male support?

One of the most fundamental aspects of female empowerment is the right to vote, and a considerable literature has examined the impact of female suffrage on the size of government and the share of social spending, both of...Read more...

Thursday 19 May 2022 14:00 - 15:30

STICERD Econometrics Seminar Series

On Local Projection Based Inference

This Montiel Olea and Plagborg-M?ller (2021) recently propose robust confidence intervals for impulse responses based on the lag-augmented local projection regression, under the full mean independence assumption on the s...Read more...

Thursday 19 May 2022 15:30 - 17:00

STICERD Economic Theory Seminars

Keeping the Agents in the Dark: Private Disclosures in Competing Mechanisms

We study competing-mechanism games, in which several principals contract with several privately informed agents. We show that enabling the principals to engage into private disclosures?whereby a principal sends to the ag...Read more...

Friday 20 May 2022 12:00 - 13:00

Joint Econometrics and Statistics Workshop

CANCELLED

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Monday 23 May 2022 16:00 - 17:30

CEP/STICERD Applications Seminars

Power and Dignity in the Low-Wage Labor Market: Theory and Evidence from Walmart Workers

We present a survey-based methodology for estimating employer market power and worker valuations of job amenities. We discuss a simple model of a monopsonistic employer choosing wages jointly with non-wage working condit...Read more...

Tuesday 24 May 2022 11:30 - 12:45

CASE Special Events

Conscious hedonism and basic needs. A thriving life that does not cost the Earth

Our model of progress appears to fail: there is no single country on Earth that has achieved a social minimum while also remaining below the ecological ceiling. The recent International Panel on Climate Change (ICPP) rep...Read more...

Thursday 26 May 2022 13:00 - 14:00

IFS/STICERD/UCL Development Work in Progress Seminar

The intergenerational impact of violence on health and family outcomes: the case of slavery

This paper investigates the intergenerational impact of violence on health and family outcomes, using as study context slavery in the French West Indies. I first show how slaves? living condition and exposure to violence...Read more...

Thursday 26 May 2022 14:00 - 15:30

STICERD Econometrics Seminar Series

Bagged value-at-risk forecast combination

Recent developments in financial econometrics literature on joint scoring functions for Value-at-Risk and Expected Shortfall allowed for consistent implementation of statistical tests based on the Model Confidence Set (M...Read more...

Thursday 26 May 2022 15:30 - 17:00

STICERD Economic Theory Seminars

Incentive Compatibility in Dynamic Information Design

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Monday 30 May 2022 16:00 - 17:30

CEP/STICERD Applications Seminars

Taxing High-Income Earners: The Implications of Dynamic Compensation

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Tuesday 31 May 2022 17:30 - 19:00

STICERD Public Events and Lectures

Why Does Racial Inequality Persist?

In exploring the persistence of racial inequality, Glenn Loury will discuss a range of conceptual frameworks that are useful for understanding racial inequality drawing on a lifetime of work on these issues, traversing d...Read more...

Wednesday 01 June 2022 14:00 - 15:00

Joint Econometrics and Statistics Workshop

Quadratic Prediction Methodology and Calibration of Prediction Intervals Based on Subsampling

We consider nonlinear prediction of a stationary time series using quadratic functions of the past data. We derive explicit formulae for the best quadratic predictor and its MSPE. We also give conditions under which the...Read more...

Thursday 02 June 2022 15:30 - 17:00

STICERD Economic Theory Seminars

TBC

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Monday 06 June 2022 16:00 - 17:30

CEP/STICERD Applications Seminars

Voting on a Trade Agreement: Firm Networks and Attitudes Toward Openness

We exploit a natural experiment to study the extent to which popular attitudes toward trade are driven by economic fundamentals. In 2007, Costa Rica put a free trade agreement (FTA) to a national referendum. With a singl...Read more...

Wednesday 08 June 2022 12:30 - 13:30

IFS-STICERD Public Economics Seminar

Predicting Long-term Unemployment Risk

This paper uses rich administrative and survey data from Sweden to study the predictability and determinants of long-term unemployment (LTU) over the period 1992-2016. We use standard machine learning techniques to predi...Read more...

Wednesday 08 June 2022 16:30 - 18:00

CASE Social Exclusion Seminars

Migrant-origin children in Ireland: Language and reading development in early childhood

Ireland provides a useful case study into the experiences of second-generation migrants in a `new immigration country? where relatively little is known about the Irish-born children of recent migrants. This talk will dis...Read more...

Thursday 09 June 2022 13:00 - 14:00

IFS/STICERD/UCL Development Work in Progress Seminar

Using third-party data to improve tax compliance in a context of low enforcement

This paper investigates a potentially cost-effective way to improve tax compliance when enforcement capacity is low, by leveraging inter-firm relationships and third-party reporting. Using rich administrative data from S...Read more...

Thursday 09 June 2022 15:30 - 17:00

STICERD Economic Theory Seminars

Sequential Veto Bargaining with Incomplete Information

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Friday 10 June 2022 09:30 - Saturday 11 June 2022 18:00

STICERD Public Events and Lectures

LSE-NYU Political Science and Political Economy annual conference

The LSE-NYU conference brings together political scientists and economists to discuss recent contributions, both theoretical and empirical, to the study of institutions, political behaviour and related social phenomena....Read more...

Monday 13 June 2022 16:00 - 17:30

CEP/STICERD Applications Seminars

Deep learning methods to curate economic data at scale

Vast amounts of data are trapped in non-computable formats, such as document image scans and text. Deep learning has the potential to greatly expand the questions that economists can study by providing rigorous methods f...Read more...

Wednesday 15 June 2022 16:30 - 18:00

CASE Social Exclusion Seminars

CASE

Fertility and the two-child limit: does cutting child benefits really affect fertility?

The two-child limit, introduced by the UK government from April 2017, restricts means-tested child-related social security support to the first two children in a household. It aimed to ?to ensure that families in receipt...Read more...

Thursday 16 June 2022 13:00 - 14:00

IFS/STICERD/UCL Development Work in Progress Seminar

Legacies of Conflict and the Formation of Trust

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Thursday 16 June 2022 14:00 - 15:30

STICERD Econometrics Seminar Series

How Biased are Observational Methods in Practice? Accumulating Evidence Using Randomised Controlled Trials with Imperfect Compliance

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Thursday 16 June 2022 15:30 - 17:00

STICERD Economic Theory Seminars

Incentive Design for Talent Discovery

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Thursday 23 June 2022 13:00 - 14:00

IFS/STICERD/UCL Development Work in Progress Seminar

The Value of Collusive Relational Agreements in the Colombia Energy Sector

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Thursday 30 June 2022 13:00 - 14:00

IFS/STICERD/UCL Development Work in Progress Seminar

Father of the Bride, or Steel Magnolias? Targeting Men, Women or both to Reduce Child Marriage

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Thursday 14 July 2022 13:00 - 14:00

IFS/STICERD/UCL Development Work in Progress Seminar

Norms Replacement. A Field Experiment on Female Genital Cutting

We evaluate the effectiveness of two interventions designed to reduce the incidence of female genital cutting (FGC) among adolescent girls in Sierra Leone. In this setting, FGC is part of a ritual called Bondo, which mar...Read more...

Thursday 15 September 2022 13:00 - 14:00

IFS/STICERD/UCL Development Work in Progress Seminar

More Powerful Cluster Randomized Control Trials

Balanced experimental designs, in which the number of treatment and control units are the same, do not maximize power subject to a cost constraint when treatment units are more expensive than control ones. Despite this, ...Read more...

Monday 19 September 2022 09:30 - Friday 23 September 2022 18:00

STICERD Public Events and Lectures

STICERD Economics of Environment and Energy Programme (EEE), International Growth Centre (IGC) and Programme on Innovation and Diffusion (POID)

LSE Environment Week

The Economics of Environment and Energy Programme (EEE), International Growth Centre (IGC) and Programme on Innovation and Diffusion (POID) within the LSE Economics Department will convene an Environment Week at the LSE ...Read more...

Thursday 22 September 2022 13:00 - 14:00

IFS/STICERD/UCL Development Work in Progress Seminar

Directed Lending and Female Entrepreneurs: Micro Evidence from Turkey

We combine microdata from the Turkish credit registry with administrative tax records on firms to trace the impacts of a large-scale directed lending program for female entrepreneurs across the whole of Turkey. We first ...Read more...

Tuesday 27 September 2022 14:00 - 15:30

Political Science and Political Economy Research Seminar

Biased Learning from Elections

A foundational premise in democratic theory is that political competition encourages parties to be responsive to voters. Parties have incentives to respond to the median voter?s preferences in order to win elections, and...Read more...

Thursday 29 September 2022 13:00 - 14:00

IFS/STICERD/UCL Development Work in Progress Seminar

Crime organizations as Proto-States: Evidence from Brazil

This paper studies the relationship between organized crime, formal institutions, and economic growth. In particular, I focus on the spread of the most influential criminal organization in Brazil with two goals. First, d...Read more...

Thursday 29 September 2022 15:30 - 17:00

STICERD Economic Theory Seminars

On the principal agent model

Harmonising incentive compatibility and individual rationality can be a challenge. Let A be the finite set of possibilities and D(A) its probability simplex. With a continuous function defined on D(A) representing what t...Read more...

Tuesday 04 October 2022 14:00 - 15:30

Political Science and Political Economy Research Seminar

TBC

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Thursday 06 October 2022 13:00 - 14:00

IFS/STICERD/UCL Development Work in Progress Seminar

Social networks, gender norms and women's labour supply: Experimental evidence using a job search platform

Using a cluster randomized control trial, we study the role of women's social networks in improving female labour force participation. In the first treatment arm, a hyper-local digital job search platform service was off...Read more...

Thursday 06 October 2022 15:30 - 17:00

STICERD Economic Theory Seminars

Screening with frames: Implementation in Extensive Form

We study a decision-framing design problem: a principal faces an agent with frame-dependent preferences and designs an extensive form with a frame at each stage. This allows the principal to circumvent incentive compat...Read more...

Tuesday 11 October 2022 14:00 - 15:30

Political Science and Political Economy Research Seminar

TBC

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Tuesday 18 October 2022 14:00 - 15:30

Political Science and Political Economy Research Seminar

TBC

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Thursday 20 October 2022 13:00 - 14:00

IFS/STICERD/UCL Development Work in Progress Seminar

Learning to see the world's opportunities: The impact of visualization on entrepreneurial success

Recent work in neuroscience and psychology has explored the impact of visualizing future scenarios on decision making and suggests that there is heterogeneity in how well and how often people use mental imagery. We explo...Read more...

Thursday 20 October 2022 15:30 - 17:00

STICERD Economic Theory Seminars

Dominance and Optimality

This paper proposes a general theory of dominance among choices that encompasses strict and weak dominance among strategies in games, Blackwell dominance among experiments, and first or second order stochastic dominance ...Read more...

Tuesday 25 October 2022 14:00 - 15:30

Political Science and Political Economy Research Seminar

Liberty, Sustaining the role of law and the neoclassical fallacy

Does liberty matter for economics? To address this question, I distinguish among three different types of liberty: Adam Smith?s, the neoclassical, and the so-called ?classical liberal.? They differ in that the neoclassic...Read more...

Thursday 27 October 2022 13:00 - 14:00

IFS/STICERD/UCL Development Work in Progress Seminar

The Migration Consequences of Input Subsidies

Input subsidy programs (ISPs) aim to increase agricultural productivity. For many farmers, however, outmigration may be preferred and more profitable. Using reduced-form and structural estimations, I exploit variations i...Read more...

Wednesday 02 November 2022 12:00 - 13:00

CASE Social Exclusion Seminars

Tackling Covid-19 in East London and what we learnt about inequalities

The Covid-19 pandemic exposed a wide range of social and health vulnerabilities in more deprived areas. This session will explore the way these manifested, contributory factors and what was done locally to tackle them. ...Read more...

Thursday 03 November 2022 13:00 - 14:00

IFS/STICERD/UCL Development Work in Progress Seminar

Access to Labour Justice: Evidence from the Universe of Labor Court Cases in Brazil

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Thursday 03 November 2022 13:45 - 15:00

STICERD Psychology and Economics Seminar

CEP Capabilities, Competition and Innovation Seminar

Not Learning from Others

We provide evidence of a powerful barrier to social learning: people are much less sensitive to information others discover compared to equally relevant information they discover themselves. In a series of incentivized l...Read more...

Thursday 03 November 2022 14:00 - 15:30

STICERD Econometrics Seminar Series

Simulated Maximum Likelihood Estimation of Large Games using Scenarios

This paper introduces a new simulation algorithm for evaluating the log-likelihood and score functions associated with a class of supermodular complete information discrete games. The algorithm allows for payoff function...Read more...

Thursday 03 November 2022 15:30 - 17:00

STICERD Economic Theory Seminars

Slow and Easy: A Theory of Browsing

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Monday 07 November 2022 12:00 - 13:30

CEP/STICERD Applications Seminars

The Dynamics of Abusive Relationships

Domestic abuse is a common yet complex phenomenon. We use the universe of police reports filed in Finland since 2006, matched to rich register data, to identify the impact of cohabiting with an abusive spouse on labour m...Read more...

Monday 07 November 2022 12:30 - 14:00

STICERD Industrial Organisation Seminars

Colluding against Environmental Regulation

We study collusion among firms against imperfectly monitored environmental regulation. Firms increase variable profits by violating regulation and reduce expected noncompliance penalties by violating jointly. We consider...Read more...

Tuesday 08 November 2022 14:00 - 15:30

Political Science and Political Economy Research Seminar

TBC

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Thursday 10 November 2022 13:00 - 14:00

IFS/STICERD/UCL Development Work in Progress Seminar

Intrahousehold Spillovers of Early Childhood Interventions: Experimental Evidence from Nigeria

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Thursday 10 November 2022 14:00 - 15:30

STICERD Econometrics Seminar Series

Identification and Estimation of Network Models with Nonparametric Unobserved Heterogeneity

Homophily based on observables is widespread in networks. Therefore, homophily based on unobservables (fixed effects) is also likely to be an important determinant of the interaction outcomes. Failing to properly account...Read more...

Thursday 10 November 2022 15:30 - 17:00

STICERD Economic Theory Seminars

Sequential Mechanisms for Evidence Acquisition

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Friday 11 November 2022 12:30 - 13:30

STICERD Psychology and Economics Seminar

LSE STAFF & STUDENTS ONLY

Masculinity Norms and Labour Market Outcomes

We measure gender norms facing men and women and the relative strength of those norms. We find that while gender norms regarding acceptable behavior for women have progressed, norms for men are relatively homogenous acro...Read more...

Monday 14 November 2022 12:00 - 13:30

CEP/STICERD Applications Seminars

It Takes a Village: The Economics of Parenting with Neighborhood and Peer Effects

As children reach adolescence, peer interactions become increasingly central to their development, whereas the direct influence of parents wanes. Nevertheless, parents may continue to exert leverage by shaping their chil...Read more...

Monday 14 November 2022 12:30 - 14:00

STICERD Industrial Organisation Seminars

Price Competition and Endogenous Product Choice in Networks: Evidence from the US Airline Industry

We build and estimate a two-stage model of airline competition in which firms first form the networks of markets to be served and then compete in prices. We estimate our model using fares data on US domestic flights. We ...Read more...

Tuesday 15 November 2022 14:00 - 15:30

Political Science and Political Economy Research Seminar

TBC

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Wednesday 16 November 2022 12:30 - 13:45

IFS-STICERD Public Economics Seminar

Implementing Helicopter Money with Negative Interest Rates: Evidence from a Randomized Experiment

In this paper, we estimate the marginal propensity to consume (MPC) in an experimentallocating monetary transfers at random to a sample representative of the population of French households. Our experiment provides 300 e...Read more...

Thursday 17 November 2022 13:00 - 14:00

IFS/STICERD/UCL Development Work in Progress Seminar

Modernising Fragile States

Extreme poverty is concentrating in the parts of the world where it will be hardest to eradicate and where building state capacity is most challenging. Currently, one in three poor people live in "extremely fragile" stat...Read more...

Thursday 17 November 2022 14:00 - 15:30

STICERD Econometrics Seminar Series

Specification Testing for Conditional Moment Restrictions Under Local Identification Failure

In this paper, we study the asymptotic behaviour of the specification in conditional moment restrictions model under first-order local identification failure with dependent data. More specifically, we obtain conditions u...Read more...

Thursday 17 November 2022 15:30 - 17:00

STICERD Economic Theory Seminars

Outside options, reputations, and the partial success of the Coase conjecture

A buyer and seller bargain over a good's price in continuous time, the buyer has a private value v and a positive outside option w. Additionally, bargainers can either be rational or committed to some fixed price. When t...Read more...

Monday 21 November 2022 12:00 - 13:30

CEP/STICERD Applications Seminars

Responsible Sourcing? Theory and Evidence from Costa Rica

Multinational enterprises (MNEs) increasingly impose ?Responsible Sourcing? (RS) standards on their suppliers worldwide, including requirements on worker compensation, benefits and working conditions. Are these policies ...Read more...

Monday 21 November 2022 12:30 - 14:00

STICERD Industrial Organisation Seminars

Rising Markups and the Role of Consumer Preferences

We characterize the evolution of markups for consumer products in the United States from 2006 to 2019. We use detailed data on prices and quantities for products in more than 100 distinct product categories to estimate d...Read more...

Tuesday 22 November 2022 14:00 - 15:30

Political Science and Political Economy Research Seminar

TBC

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Wednesday 23 November 2022 12:00 - 13:00

CASE Social Exclusion Seminars

Hosted by CASE, the London School of Economics and Political Science

Trends in spatial labour income inequality in Canada, France, Germany and the UK 1975-2020: the Linking National and Regional Inequalities project

The Linking National and Regional Inequalities project is an ongoing initiative to build an open-access, international database of statistics on regional income inequality. Initially the project examines trends in geogra...Read more...

Thursday 24 November 2022 13:00 - 14:00

IFS/STICERD/UCL Development Work in Progress Seminar

Personalized Information Provision and the Take-Up of Government Benefits: Experimental Evidence from India

Emergency government benefits are frequently used to mitigate the effects of severe shocks. However, there is often a gap between what people are eligible to receive and what they actually receive. This paper draws on a ...Read more...

Thursday 24 November 2022 14:00 - 15:30

STICERD Econometrics Seminar Series

Relaxing Strict Exogeneity in Nonlinear Panel Data Models

We study nonlinear panel data models under the assumption that covariates are predetermined. Relaxing strict exogeneity is important in many applications. Our characterization yields novel moment conditions on parameters...Read more...

Thursday 24 November 2022 15:30 - 17:00

STICERD Economic Theory Seminars

Martingale Embeddings: Theory and Applications

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Monday 28 November 2022 12:00 - 13:30

CEP/STICERD Applications Seminars

The Education-Innovation Gap

This paper documents differences across higher education courses in the coverage of frontier knowledge. Applying natural language processing (NLP) techniques to the text of 1.7M syllabi and 20M academic articles, we cons...Read more...

Monday 28 November 2022 12:30 - 14:00

STICERD Industrial Organisation Seminars

Competition under Incomplete Contracts and the Design of Procurement Policies

We study the effects of intensifying competition for contracts in the context of U.S. Defense procurement. Conceptually, opening contracts up to bids by more participants leads to lower awarding prices, but may hinder bu...Read more...

Tuesday 29 November 2022 14:00 - 15:30

Political Science and Political Economy Research Seminar

TBC

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Wednesday 30 November 2022 12:30 - 13:45

IFS-STICERD Public Economics Seminar

TBC

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Thursday 01 December 2022 13:00 - 14:00

IFS/STICERD/UCL Development Work in Progress Seminar

Does the Local Integration of Superstar Firms Matter? Theory and Cross-Country Evidence

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Thursday 01 December 2022 14:00 - 15:30

STICERD Econometrics Seminar Series

Noisy, Non-Smooth, Non-Convex Estimation of Moment Condition Models

A practical challenge for structural estimations is the requirement to minimize a sample objective function which is often non-smooth, non-convex, or both. This paper proposes a simple algorithm designed to find accurate...Read more...

Thursday 01 December 2022 15:30 - 17:00

STICERD Economic Theory Seminars

The comparative models of persuasion

In the canonical persuasion model, comparative statics has been an open question. We answer it, delineating which shifts of the sender's interim payoff lead her optimally to choose a more informative signal. Our first th...Read more...

Monday 05 December 2022 12:00 - 13:30

CEP/STICERD Applications Seminars

Technology Transfer and Early Industrial Development: Evidence from the Sino-Soviet Alliance

This paper studies the causal effect of technology and knowledge transfers on early industrial development. Between 1950 and 1957, the Soviet Union supported the ?156 Projects? in China for building technologically advan...Read more...

Monday 05 December 2022 12:30 - 14:00

STICERD Industrial Organisation Seminars

Regulation and Service Provision in Dynamic Oligopoly: Evidence from Mobile Telecommunications

I study the effects of universal service regulation in oligopolistic industries with sunk investment costs, focusing on the Brazilian mobile telecommunications industry. To quantify the impact of regulation on service av...Read more...

Tuesday 06 December 2022 14:00 - 15:30

Political Science and Political Economy Research Seminar

TBC

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Wednesday 07 December 2022 12:00 - 13:00

CASE Social Exclusion Seminars

The unequal effects of the COVID-19 pandemic on young people's education and wellbeing: the first wave of the COVID Social Mobility & Opportunities study (COSMO)

There is increasing evidence of the inequalities in pupils? experiences of COVID-19 restrictions and how these have reflected and exacerbated existing gender, ethnic and socio-economic inequalities. The COVID Social Mobi...Read more...

Thursday 08 December 2022 13:00 - 14:00

IFS/STICERD/UCL Development Work in Progress Seminar

The Environmental Cost of Economic Growth

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Thursday 08 December 2022 14:00 - 15:30

STICERD Econometrics Seminar Series

Peer Effects in Random Consideration Sets

We develop a dynamic model of discrete choice that incorporates peer effects into random consideration sets. We characterize the equilibrium behavior and study the empirical content of the model. In our setup, changes in...Read more...

Thursday 08 December 2022 15:30 - 17:00

STICERD Economic Theory Seminars

CANCELLED: Encouraging a Go-Getter

This paper considers a decision maker who receives a reward if he takes a costly action above an unknown threshold. A designer controls the information available to the decision maker about the threshold. The designer?s ...Read more...

Thursday 15 December 2022 15:30 - 17:00

STICERD Economic Theory Seminars & STICERD Psychology and Economics Seminar

TBC

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Tuesday 17 January 2023 14:00 - 15:30

Political Science and Political Economy Research Seminar

TBC

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Friday 20 January 2023 12:00 - 13:00

Joint Econometrics and Statistics Workshop

Causal Falsification of Digital Twins

We consider how to assess the accuracy of a digital twin using real-world data. We formulate this problem within the framework of causal inference, which leads to a precise definition of what it means for a twin to be "c...Read more...

Tuesday 24 January 2023 14:00 - 15:30

Political Science and Political Economy Research Seminar

TBC

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Tuesday 31 January 2023 14:00 - 15:30

Political Science and Political Economy Research Seminar

Economic inequality, political polarization and voter turnout

Rising economic inequality has often been associated with either increasing political polarization or decreasing voter turnout. The first link has strong empirical support, while for the second one the evidence is mixed....Read more...

Friday 03 February 2023 12:00 - 13:00

Joint Econometrics and Statistics Workshop

Super Reinforcement Learning in Confounded Environments

We introduce super reinforcement learning in the batch setting, which takes the observed action as input for achieving a stronger oracle in policy learning. In the presence of unmeasured confounders, the recommendations ...Read more...

Tuesday 07 February 2023 14:00 - 15:30

Political Science and Political Economy Research Seminar

Gender and Social (Dis)Trust: Results from a Global Field Experiment

Social trust is considered key for social, political, and economic development. But what does social trust look like in the real world? Who trusts whom, and with what? We seek to answer these questions using data from n=...Read more...

Wednesday 08 February 2023 12:00 - 13:00

CASE Social Exclusion Seminars

Transport-related social exclusion in the North of England - It's grim up North

This presentation looks at the issue of transport-related social exclusion (TRSE), which was a concept that was developed in the early 2000s in response to the then Labour government's Neighbourhood Renewal Programme. T...Read more...

Tuesday 14 February 2023 14:00 - 15:30

Political Science and Political Economy Research Seminar

Fiscal Legibility and State Development: Theory and Evidence from Colonial Mexico

We examine how fiscal legibility, the ability of central authorities to observe local economic conditions for the purposes of taxation, shapes political centralization and state development. When rulers lack information ...Read more...

Thursday 16 February 2023 15:30 - 17:00

STICERD Economic Theory Seminars

Gerrymandering the Swing Voters

Gerrymandering is the strategic redrawing of the boundaries of congressional and state legislative districts. We develop a new theoretical model of gerrymandering. We embrace the fact that there is a difference between t...Read more...

Friday 17 February 2023 12:00 - 13:00

Joint Econometrics and Statistics Workshop

Two projects on the AUC

I will describe two current projects dealing with the AUC. The AUC is a measure of how well a binary classifier discriminates. Long popular in the medical sciences, it has seen new life in data science applications. In t...Read more...

Monday 20 February 2023 12:00 - 13:30

CEP/STICERD Applications Seminars

Where is standard of living the highest? Local prices and the geography of consumption

Income differences across US cities are well documented, but little is known about the level of standard of living in each city - defined as the amount of market-based consumption that residents are able to afford. We pr...Read more...

Thursday 23 February 2023 15:30 - 17:00

STICERD Economic Theory Seminars

Sequential Sampling Equilibrium

This paper introduces an equilibrium framework based on sequential sampling in which players face strategic uncertainty over their opponents? behavior and acquire information to resolve it. Sequential sampling equilibriu...Read more...

Monday 27 February 2023 12:00 - 13:30

CEP/STICERD Applications Seminars

The Dynamic Impact of Market Integration: Evidence from Renewable Energy Expansion in Chile

We study the static and dynamic impacts of market integration on renewable energy expansion. Our theory highlights that statically, market integration improves allocative efficiency by gains from trade, and dynamically, ...Read more...

Tuesday 28 February 2023 14:00 - 15:30

Political Science and Political Economy Research Seminar

The Political Economic Determinants of Nuclear Power: Evidence from Chernobyl

This paper investigates the political-economic determinants of nuclear energy investment using the Chernobyl accident as a natural experiment. We document several facts. First, the accident sharply reduced worldwide grow...Read more...

Wednesday 01 March 2023 18:00 - 19:30

STICERD Public Events and Lectures

STICERD, BRAC, and the IGC

Why do people stay poor?

Recent research indicates there is a wealth threshold below which people are stuck in the so-called `poverty trap? ? where the initial wealth of a person and a system of oppression keeps them in a cycle of poverty rather...Read more...

Thursday 02 March 2023 13:00 - 14:00

IFS/STICERD/UCL Development Work in Progress Seminar

Mafia infiltrations in times of crisis: Evidence from the Covid-19 shock

We investigate the way in which mafia-type organisations penetrate the legal economy. Specifically, we study the relationship between firm performance and mafia infiltration. To overcome possible endogeneity concerns we ...Read more...

Thursday 02 March 2023 14:00 - 15:30

STICERD Econometrics Seminar Series

Uniform and distribution-free inference with general autoregressive processes

A unified theory of estimation and inference is developed for an autoregressive process with root in (-∞, ∞) that includes the stable, unstable, explosive and all intermediate regions. The discontinuity of th...Read more...

Thursday 02 March 2023 15:30 - 17:00

STICERD Economic Theory Seminars

Should the Timing of Inspections be Predictable?

A principal hires an agent to work on a long-term project that culminates in either a breakthrough or a breakdown. Arrival rates of breakthroughs and breakdowns are governed by the agent's hidden actions: working increas...Read more...

Monday 06 March 2023 12:00 - 13:30

CEP/STICERD Applications Seminars

International Trade Responses to Labour Market Regulations

This paper studies how differences in labor market regulations (?social standards?) shape countries' comparative advantage in services, using administrative data on cross-border supply of services within Europe from 2004...Read more...

Monday 06 March 2023 12:30 - 14:00

STICERD Industrial Organisation Seminars

Why Do Investors Buy Expensive Index Funds? Quantifying Frictions in the Index Fund Market

Index funds are one of the most common ways investors access equity markets and are perceived to be a transparent and low-cost alternative to active investment management. Despite these purported virtues of passive asset...Read more...

Tuesday 07 March 2023 14:00 - 15:30

Political Science and Political Economy Research Seminar

Keep your Enemies Closer: Strategic Candidate Adjustments in U.S. and French Elections

A key tenet of representative democracy is that politicians should adjust their discourse and policies to the voters who elect them. The Median Voter Theorem (MVT) predicts that, if candidates are fully strategic, they w...Read more...

Wednesday 08 March 2023 12:30 - 13:45

IFS-STICERD Public Economics Seminar

Cash Transfers and the Local Economy: Evidence from Brazil

Cash transfer programs became ubiquitous in developing countries and have been credited for sizable reductions in poverty. However, their potential disincentive effects on labor supply have spurred a heated policy debate...Read more...

Thursday 09 March 2023 13:00 - 14:00

IFS/STICERD/UCL Development Work in Progress Seminar

Strikes and Innovation: The Political Economy of Invention in the Industrial Revolution

We study conflict in the labor market as a source of induced innovation. Strike activity was associated with significant increases in patented invention during the Industrial Revolution in England. The positive relations...Read more...

Thursday 09 March 2023 14:00 - 15:30

STICERD Econometrics Seminar Series

Contamination Bias in Linear Regressions

We study regressions with multiple treatments and a set of controls that is flexible enough to purge omitted variable bias. We show these regressions generally fail to estimate convex averages of heterogeneous treatment ...Read more...

Thursday 09 March 2023 15:30 - 17:00

STICERD Economic Theory Seminars

An Axiomatic Approach to the Law of Small Numbers

We show that the evidence supporting the Law of Small Numbers (Tversky and Kahneman (1974)) can be reduced to either of two basic properties of beliefs: Streak Aversion and Mean Reversion. We formalize these properties i...Read more...

Monday 13 March 2023 12:00 - 13:30

CEP/STICERD Applications Seminars

Voice at Work

We estimate the effects of worker voice on job quality and separations. We leverage the 1991 introduction of worker representation on boards of Finnish firms with at least 150 employees. In contrast to exit-voice theory,...Read more...

Tuesday 14 March 2023 14:00 - 15:30

Political Science and Political Economy Research Seminar

The Confederate Diaspora

This paper shows how white migration out of the early postbellum South helped to diffuse and entrench Confederate culture across the United States at a critical juncture of westward expansion, national reconciliation, an...Read more...

Thursday 16 March 2023 13:00 - 14:00

IFS/STICERD/UCL Development Work in Progress Seminar

Forced Displacement, Mental Health, and Child Development: Evidence from the Rohingya Refugees

Forced displacement is a major driver of mental disorders among refugees worldwide. Poor mental health of adult refugees, particularly mothers, is also considered a risk factor for the psychological well-being and develo...Read more...

Thursday 16 March 2023 14:00 - 15:30

STICERD Econometrics Seminar Series

Estimating Matching Games with Profit and Price Data

Empirical methods for transferable-utility matching games have previously been developed using the key outcome of the matches formed in equilibrium. We explore identification and estimation of match production functions ...Read more...

Thursday 16 March 2023 15:30 - 17:00

STICERD Economic Theory Seminars

Information Aggregation on Networks: an Experimental Study

We study the impact of network architecture on the efficiency of information transmission and dynamics of learning in large networks using laboratory experiments. While the theoretical literature has recently made progre...Read more...

Friday 17 March 2023 12:00 - 13:00

Joint Econometrics and Statistics Workshop

A network approach to compute hypervolume under ROC manifold for multi-class biomarkers

Computation of hypervolume under ROC manifold (HUM) is necessary to evaluate biomarkers for their capability to discriminate among multiple disease types or diagnostic groups. However the original definition of HUM invol...Read more...

Monday 20 March 2023 12:00 - 13:30

CEP/STICERD Applications Seminars

Mechanism design for personalized policy: A field experiment incentivizing behavior change

Personalizing policies can theoretically increase their effectiveness. However, personalization is difficult when policies are vertically-differentiated and beneficiaries' types are unobservable, since beneficiaries may ...Read more...

Monday 20 March 2023 12:30 - 14:00

STICERD Industrial Organisation Seminars

Competitive award of scarce airport slots: an empirical analysis

This paper explores the welfare impacts of introducing a market-based mechanism for the allocation of scarce airport take-off and landing slots. Instead of the usual revealed preference approach that recovers values from...Read more...

Tuesday 21 March 2023 12:00 - 13:00

Joint Econometrics and Statistics Workshop

Multiple Randomization Designs

In this study we introduce a new class of experimental designs. In a classical randomized controlled trial (RCT), or A/B test, a randomly selected subset of a population of units (e.g., individuals, plots of land, or exp...Read more...

Tuesday 21 March 2023 14:00 - 15:30

Political Science and Political Economy Research Seminar

Training Local Leaders to Prevent and Reduce Intimate Partner Violence: Evidence from Peru

More than one in four women worldwide have been affected by sexual or physical intimate partner violence (WHO 2021). A third of all women intentionally killed worldwide are killed by an intimate partner (UNODC 2019). Des...Read more...

Wednesday 22 March 2023 12:30 - 13:45

IFS-STICERD Public Economics Seminar

Home Price Expectations and Spending: Evidence From a Field Experiment

How do households adjust their spending behaviour in response to changes in home price expectations? We conduct a field experiment with a sample of Americans that links survey data on home price expectations to actual sp...Read more...

Thursday 23 March 2023 13:00 - 14:00

IFS/STICERD/UCL Development Work in Progress Seminar

TBC

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Thursday 23 March 2023 14:00 - 15:30

STICERD Econometrics Seminar Series

What Information Theory Brings to Modelling and Inference with Complex Data

The available information is usually too complex, insufficient and imperfect to deliver a unique solution for most economic modelling and inference problems. Information Theory within a constrained optimization setup pro...Read more...

Thursday 23 March 2023 15:30 - 17:00

STICERD Economic Theory Seminars

Interactions across Multiple Games: Cooperation, Corruption, and Organizational Design

Teams face a variety of strategic situations. It is socially beneficial for teams to cooperate in productive but not in corrupt ones. However, cooperation in one situation may depend on expectations of cooperation in oth...Read more...

Monday 27 March 2023 12:00 - 13:30

CEP/STICERD Applications Seminars

Middle Men or Innovators? The Role of Insurers in Cost and Productivity in Health Care

Health insurers play a central role in the function of any health care system. In practice, whether a single payer system or a managed marketplace, insurers function as the platform aggregating information and determinin...Read more...

Monday 27 March 2023 12:30 - 14:00

STICERD Industrial Organisation Seminars

Saving for a Dry Day: Coal, Dams, and the Energy Transition

Renewable generation creates a tradeoff between current and future energy production as generators produce energy by releasing previously stored resources. Studying the Colombian market, we find that diversified firms st...Read more...

Monday 27 March 2023 18:00 - 19:30

STICERD Public Events and Lectures

How to introduce culture in economics

The annual LSE Political Science and Political Economy lecture brings together political scientists and economists to discuss recent contributions, both theoretical and empirical, to the study of institutions, political ...Read more...

Tuesday 28 March 2023 14:00 - 15:30

Political Science and Political Economy Research Seminar

Fear and Dreams: Social origins of paramilitary behavior in Colombia

We study variation in the governing strategies adopted by paramilitary fronts in Colombia between 2000 and 2006. We hypothesize that the social background of the front commanders was a prime determinant of the variation,...Read more...

Thursday 30 March 2023 13:00 - 14:00

IFS/STICERD/UCL Development Work in Progress Seminar

Seasonal Poverty and Internal Migration: A Research Agenda in Bangladesh and Nepal

A large literature, including the World Bank?s 2023 World Development Report, explores the interlinkages between international migration and economic development. But most human mobility in the world is within-country, ...Read more...

Friday 31 March 2023 12:00 - 13:00

Joint Econometrics and Statistics Workshop

Inference on Time Series Nonparametric Conditional Moment Restrictions Using General Sieves

General nonlinear sieve learnings are classes of nonlinear sieves that can approximate nonlinear functions of high dimensional variables much more flexibly than various linear sieves (or series). This paper considers gen...Read more...

Friday 31 March 2023 15:30 - 17:00

CASE Social Exclusion Seminars

Levelling Up: A US/UK comparison

National governments in both the US and the UK are trying to use the post pandemic period to reduce long standing disparities on economic performance across cities and metropolitan areas. These "Levelling Up" strategies ...Read more...

Thursday 06 April 2023 13:00 - 14:00

IFS/STICERD/UCL Development Work in Progress Seminar

Command and Can't Control: An Evaluation of Centralized Accountability in the Public Sector

By reducing information asymmetries across the hierarchy, the digitization of government services presents an opportunity for centralized management of frontline staff. In particular, high-frequency granular data can ena...Read more...

Wednesday 19 April 2023 12:00 - 13:00

CASE Social Exclusion Seminars

Strategic Gift Giving in Europe: the relationship between intergenerational family ties and financial incentives

This seminar draws on research on the relationship between intergenerational family ties and financial incentives, specifically whether the adult children's intensity of upstream social contact responds to strategic gift...Read more...

Wednesday 19 April 2023 12:30 - 13:45

IFS-STICERD Public Economics Seminar

What Do Insurers Do Differently Than One Another? Managed Competition and Value Added

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Tuesday 02 May 2023 - Wednesday 03 May 2023

STICERD Public Events and Lectures

Economics of Environment and Energy Programme (EEE), STICERD, Programme on Innovation and Diffusion (POID), Department of Economics

LSE Environment Day

The Economics of Environment and Energy Programme (EEE), Programme on Innovation and Diffusion (POID), and STICERD are organising an Environment Day on 2 and 3 May 2023 at the LSE....Read more...

Wednesday 03 May 2023 12:30 - 13:45

IFS-STICERD Public Economics Seminar

Do Youth Employment Programs Work? Evidence from the New Deal

We study the Civilian Conservation Corps (CCC) ? the first and largest youth training program in the U.S. in operation between 1933 and 1942 ? to provide the first comprehensive assessment of the short- and long-term eff...Read more...

Thursday 04 May 2023 13:00 - 14:00

IFS/STICERD/UCL Development Work in Progress Seminar

The Impact of Circular Economy Training on the Waste Footprint of Urban Communities

Waste generation has risen tenfold in the past century, and by 2050, it is anticipated to be another 70 percent higher than now. Yet less than a third of waste is handled in an environmentally responsible way. Untreated ...Read more...

Thursday 04 May 2023 15:30 - 17:00

STICERD Economic Theory Seminars

Experimentation in Networks

We introduce a model of strategic experimentation on social networks where forward looking agents learn from their own and neighbours' successes. In equilibrium, private discovery is followed by social diffusion. Social ...Read more...

Friday 05 May 2023 12:00 - 13:30

CEP/STICERD Applications Seminars

Effects of caste-based affirmative action in governance on socio-economic networks and resource provision

We study the impacts of political affirmative action for historically disadvantaged caste groups in Bihar, India on village social and economic networks. These networks shape the socio-economic landscape, serving many fu...Read more...

Wednesday 10 May 2023 12:00 - 13:00

CASE Social Exclusion Seminars

Investing in social inclusion? Paradoxes and dilemmas of social investment

This seminar discusses some central paradoxes and dilemmas that emerge from the rise of 'social investment' - one of the today dominant approaches in social policy, both as a policymaking discourse (endorsed e.g. by the ...Read more...

Thursday 11 May 2023 13:00 - 14:00

IFS/STICERD/UCL Development Work in Progress Seminar

Waterborne diseases and children's learning

Unsafe water kills 1.2 million people every year, yet there is little research on the environmental and social risk factors of waterborne disease incidence and the consequences for children?s learning. Building on recent...Read more...

Thursday 11 May 2023 14:00 - 15:30

STICERD Econometrics Seminar Series

Shrinkage estimation of fixed effects with matched data

This paper develops an empirical Bayes estimator for a panel data model with two-way fixed effects, with a focus on matched data with limited mobility. The hyperparameters that control the variance (degree of shrinkage)...Read more...

Thursday 11 May 2023 15:30 - 17:00

STICERD Economic Theory Seminars

Who Controls the Agenda Controls the Policy

This paper models legislative decision-making with an agenda setter who can propose policies sequentially, tailoring each proposal to the status quo that prevails after prior votes. Voters are sophisticated and the agend...Read more...

Monday 15 May 2023 12:00 - 13:30

CEP/STICERD Applications Seminars

Sexual Harassment in Public Spaces and Police Patrolling: Experimental Evidence from Urban India

We implement a randomized controlled trial to evaluate the impact of the world?s largest street patrolling program targeting sexual harassment in public space on women?s victimization in Hyderabad, India. Using a novel ...Read more...

Monday 15 May 2023 12:30 - 14:00

STICERD Industrial Organisation Seminars

Algorithmic Pricing and Competition: Empirical Evidence from the German Retail Gasoline Market

We provide the first empirical analysis of the relationship between algorithmic pricing (AP) and competition by studying the impact of adoption in Germany's retail gasoline market, where software became widely available ...Read more...

Monday 15 May 2023 18:30 - 20:00

STICERD Public Events and Lectures

STICERD and Mouradian Foundation

What would a fair society look like?

In this talk, Daniel Chandler will explore how Rawls?s ideas can help us transform our societies for the better, drawing on his recent book, Free and Equal....Read more...

Wednesday 17 May 2023 12:00 - 13:00

CASE Social Exclusion Seminars

Exploring the utility of structural competency in multi-agency responses to exploitation

This seminar will discuss the emerging concept of `structural competency' as a framework to understand systemic gaps and suggest more effective multi-agency responses to exploitation affecting marginalised communities. I...Read more...

Wednesday 17 May 2023 12:30 - 13:45

IFS-STICERD Public Economics Seminar

The Diffusion of Disruptive Technologies

We identify novel technologies using textual analysis of patents, job postings, and earnings calls. Our approach enables us to identify and document the diffusion of 29 disruptive technologies across firms and labor mark...Read more...

Thursday 18 May 2023 09:30 - Friday 19 May 2023 18:00

STICERD Public Events and Lectures

STICERD, LSE, University of Oxford, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, CEPR

Organising development and the development of organisations conference

Most people in high income countries work within an organisation, often very large with several layers of management. Most people in low income countries work on their own or with family members. Why and how do organisat...Read more...

Thursday 18 May 2023 13:00 - 14:00

IFS/STICERD/UCL Development Work in Progress Seminar

TBC

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Monday 22 May 2023 12:00 - 13:30

CEP/STICERD Applications Seminars

Money (Not) to Burn: Payments for Ecosystem Services to Reduce Crop Residue Burning

Particulate matter significantly reduces life expectancy in India. We use a randomized controlled trial in the Indian state of Punjab to evaluate the effectiveness of conditional cash transfers (also known as payments fo...Read more...

Monday 22 May 2023 12:30 - 14:00

STICERD Industrial Organisation Seminars

Modeling Job Search and Matching with Panel Data on Vacancies and Applications

We analyze data from a large firm that provided information on all job applications and labor market outcomes within the firm over a 5-year period. The data show that African Americans and women engage in more overt job ...Read more...

Thursday 25 May 2023 13:00 - 14:00

IFS/STICERD/UCL Development Work in Progress Seminar

Zero-Sum Thinking and the Roots of US Political Divides

We examine the causes and consequences of an important cultural and psychological trait: the extent to which one views the world in zero-sum terms ? i.e., that benefits to one person or group tend to come at the cost of ...Read more...

Thursday 25 May 2023 15:30 - 17:00

STICERD Economic Theory Seminars

Zero-Knowledge Mechanisms

A powerful feature in mechanism design is the ability to irrevocably commit to the rules of a mechanism. Commitment is achieved by public declaration, which enables players to verify incentive properties in advance and t...Read more...

Friday 26 May 2023 12:00 - 13:00

Joint Econometrics and Statistics Workshop

Reinforcement Learning for Respondent-Driven Sampling

Respondent-driven sampling (RDS) is a network-based sampling strategy used to study hidden populations for which no sampling frame is available. In each epoch of an RDS study, the current wave of study participants are ...Read more...

Wednesday 31 May 2023 12:30 - 13:45

IFS-STICERD Public Economics Seminar

Firm Accommodation and the Design of Social Insurance

This paper studies the labor market impacts of firm accommodation decisions in response to worker productivity shocks and assesses the role of firms in the design of social insurance programs. Our empirical context is wo...Read more...

Wednesday 31 May 2023 18:30 - 20:00

STICERD Public Events and Lectures

STICERD

Social capital and economic mobility

This is the 2023 Morishima Lecture. This lecture series is held in honour of Michio Morishima (1923-2004), Sir John Hicks Professor of Economics at LSE and STICERD's first chairman....Read more...

Thursday 01 June 2023 13:00 - 14:00

IFS/STICERD/UCL Development Work in Progress Seminar

TBC

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Thursday 01 June 2023 14:00 - 15:30

STICERD Econometrics Seminar Series

Focused Information Criterion for Propensity Score Matching Estimators

This paper studies the model selection problem for propensity score matching estimators of the average treatment effect (ATE) and the average treatment effect on the treated (ATET). I derive the large-sample distribution...Read more...

Monday 05 June 2023 12:00 - 13:30

CEP/STICERD Applications Seminars

Bidding for Talent: A Test of Conduct on a High-Wage Labor Market

This paper proposes a novel procedure for adjudicating between models of firm wage-setting conduct. Using data from a U.S. job search platform, we first flexibly estimate labor supply to differentiated firms. We then use...Read more...

Monday 05 June 2023 12:30 - 14:00

STICERD Industrial Organisation Seminars

Understanding Port Performance and the Role of Infrastructure

We explore efficiency and optimal policy in decentralized transport markets, such as taxis, trucks, and bulk shipping. We show that in these markets, search frictions distort the transportation network and the dynamic a...Read more...

Wednesday 07 June 2023 12:00 - 13:00

CASE Social Exclusion Seminars

Local economic inequality and household borrowing in the UK

This seminar focuses on research which investigates the relationship between economic inequality and household borrowing using the UK's Wealth and Assets Survey data and granular, neighbourhood-level estimates of inequal...Read more...

Thursday 08 June 2023 09:30 - Friday 09 June 2023 18:00

STICERD Public Events and Lectures

STICERD and the LSE Department of Management

Conference on behavioural political economy

A conference on behavioural political economy, as part of the Psychology and Economics Programme within STICERD. The conference was hosted by STICERD and the LSE Department of Management. It was organised by Marina Agran...Read more...

Thursday 08 June 2023 13:00 - 14:00

IFS/STICERD/UCL Development Work in Progress Seminar

TBC

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Thursday 08 June 2023 14:00 - 15:30

STICERD Econometrics Seminar Series

TBC

TBC...Read more...

Thursday 08 June 2023 15:30 - 17:00

STICERD Economic Theory Seminars

Multidimensional Screening and Menu Design in Health Insurance Markets

We study a general screening model that encompasses the problem facing a price-setting insurer that offers vertically differentiated contracts to consumers with multiple dimensions of private information. We combine theo...Read more...

Monday 12 June 2023 12:00 - 13:30

CEP/STICERD Applications Seminars

How Disability Benefits in Early Life Affect Adult Outcomes

We use three sources of variation in childhood SSI receipt to identify the effects of receiving Supplemental Security Income (SSI) in childhood on adult outcomes and to estimate a model of human capital development. Usin...Read more...

Wednesday 14 June 2023 - Friday 16 June 2023

STICERD Public Events and Lectures

STICERD

CEPR Public Economics Annual Symposium 2023

The goal of the symposium is to provide a forum for high-quality work in public economics and to bring together economists in the field from across Europe as well as key researchers from outside the region....Read more...

Wednesday 14 June 2023 12:30 - 13:45

IFS-STICERD Public Economics Seminar

TBC

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Thursday 15 June 2023 13:00 - 14:00

IFS/STICERD/UCL Development Work in Progress Seminar

TBC

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Thursday 15 June 2023 15:30 - 17:00

STICERD Economic Theory Seminars

The Optimality of Constant Mark-Up Pricing

We consider a nonlinear pricing environment with private information. We provide profit guarantees (and associated mechanisms) that the seller can achieve across all possible distributions of willingness to pay of the b...Read more...

Friday 16 June 2023 14:30 - 15:30

Joint Econometrics and Statistics Workshop

Exploring cross-trait genetic architectures: statistical models, computational challenges, and the BIGA platform

Numerous statistical models have been proposed to analyze cross-trait genetic architectures utilizing summary statistics from genome-wide association studies (GWAS). However, systematically analyzing high-dimensional GWA...Read more...

Tuesday 20 June 2023 12:00 - 13:00

Joint Econometrics and Statistics Workshop

ScreeNOT: Optimal Singular Value Thresholding and Principal Component Selection in Correlated Noise

Principal Component Analysis (PCA) is a fundamental and ubiquitous tool in statistics and data analysis. The bare-bones idea is this. Given a data set of n points y_1, ..., y_n, form their sample covariance S. Eigenve...Read more...

Thursday 22 June 2023 13:00 - 14:00

IFS/STICERD/UCL Development Work in Progress Seminar

The welfare impacts of expanding job loss insurance: Experimental Evidence from Ethiopia

Early stage, so no abstract at this point....Read more...

Thursday 29 June 2023 13:00 - 14:00

IFS/STICERD/UCL Development Work in Progress Seminar

TBC

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Thursday 06 July 2023 13:00 - 14:00

IFS/STICERD/UCL Development Work in Progress Seminar

TBC

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Thursday 13 July 2023 13:00 - 14:00

IFS/STICERD/UCL Development Work in Progress Seminar

Do Individuals Make a Developmental State? Bureaucrats and Policy as Drivers of Korean Exports

No abstract as of yet....Read more...

Monday 04 September 2023

STICERD Public Events and Lectures

Hub for Equal Representation in the Economy

Child Penalty Conference

Join the Hub for Equal Representation in the Economy for the upcoming Child Penalty Conference and the Parenthood and the Double X Economy lecture....Read more...

Monday 04 September 2023 18:00 - 19:30

STICERD Public Events and Lectures

The Hub for Equal Representation in the Economy

Parenthood and the double x economy

In this event, expert and best-selling author Linda Scott, in a conversation with academic and political leaders, will discuss how the unequal division of the burden of parenthood fuels women?s systematic exclusion from ...Read more...

Tuesday 19 September 2023 10:00 - 17:00

STICERD Economic Theory Seminars & STICERD Public Events and Lectures

LSE-UCL Economic Theory Workshop

LSE and UCL are organising a joint workshop on economic theory on Tuesday 19 September. Researchers from both institutions will present new work in economic theory....Read more...

Thursday 21 September 2023 13:00 - 14:00

IFS/STICERD/UCL Development Work in Progress Seminar

TBC

TBC...Read more...

Tuesday 26 September 2023 14:00 - 15:30

Political Science and Political Economy Research Seminar

Trading Diversity? Judicial Diversity and Case Outcomes in Federal Courts

Are federal lawsuits resolved differently based on the race or gender of the judges assigned to hear them? Recent empirical research posits that women and judges of color decide cases more liberally, at least in some ide...Read more...

Thursday 28 September 2023 13:00 - 14:00

IFS/STICERD/UCL Development Work in Progress Seminar

The Gains from Foreign Multinationals in an Economy with Distortions

We study the local and aggregate welfare effects of the expansion of foreign multinational enterprises (MNEs) in an economy with distortions. To that end, we propose a guiding general equilibrium (GE) framework that we c...Read more...

Tuesday 03 October 2023 14:00 - 15:30

Political Science and Political Economy Research Seminar

CANCELLED: Vanguard: Black Veterans and Civil Rights after World War I

Nearly 400,000 Black men were drafted into the National Army during World War I, where they toiled in segregated units and received little formal training. Leveraging novel variation from the WWI draft lottery and millio...Read more...

Thursday 05 October 2023 13:00 - 14:00

IFS/STICERD/UCL Development Work in Progress Seminar

Importing Love: Muslim Marriage Migration to the UK.

Marriage migration is a considerable component of migration to OECD countries, but its economic drivers are underexplored. Muslims, a significant and growing population in OECD countries, exhibit a notable rate of marria...Read more...

Thursday 05 October 2023 15:30 - 17:00

STICERD Economic Theory Seminars

Disclosure and Incentives in Teams

We consider a team-production environment augmented with a stage in which the team decides how to communicate their productive outcome to outside observers. In this context, we characterize equilibrium disclosure of team...Read more...

Monday 09 October 2023 18:30 - 19:45

STICERD Public Events and Lectures

STICERD and the Hayek Programme in Economics and Liberal Political Economy, and the Department of Social Policy

Optimally Irrational. The good reasons we behave the way we do

A public lecture by Professor Lionel Page on the topic of his latest book: 'Optimally Irrational. The good reasons we behave the way we do'. The lecture is hosted by STICERD and the Department of Social Policy and suppor...Read more...

Tuesday 10 October 2023 14:00 - 15:30

Political Science and Political Economy Research Seminar

Reaching Returning Voters through Social Ties

People with past criminal convictions register and vote at very low rates and are difficult to contact for mobilization efforts: they are residentially mobile, hard to find, and often skeptical of politics. In this study...Read more...

Thursday 12 October 2023 13:00 - 14:00

IFS/STICERD/UCL Development Work in Progress Seminar

Effective Tax Rates, Firm Size and the Global Minimum Tax

This paper provides novel evidence on the relationship between firm size and effective corporate tax rates (ETRs) using full-population administrative tax data from 16 countries at different levels of development. In all...Read more...

Thursday 12 October 2023 15:30 - 17:00

STICERD Economic Theory Seminars

Attention Overload

We introduce an Attention Overload Model that captures the idea that alternatives compete for the decision maker?s attention, and hence the attention that each alternative receives decreases as the choice problem becomes...Read more...

Thursday 19 October 2023 13:00 - 14:00

IFS/STICERD/UCL Development Work in Progress Seminar

TBC

TBC...Read more...

Thursday 19 October 2023 15:30 - 17:00

STICERD Economic Theory Seminars

Trust and Respect

This article provides a mechanism that allows for reputation in repeated cheap-talk games to enhance communication and welfare - in contrast to well-known bad-reputation results in existing literature. We relax the commi...Read more...

Thursday 26 October 2023 13:00 - 14:00

IFS/STICERD/UCL Development Work in Progress Seminar

Surviving Loss: Spousal Death and Coping Strategies in Thai Rural Areas

This study investigates the impact of spousal death in rural areas of Thailand, in contrast to literature that often focuses on more developed societies with complete public insurance coverage. We found widow households ...Read more...

Thursday 26 October 2023 15:30 - 17:00

STICERD Economic Theory Seminars

Comparative statics with adjustment costs and the le Chatelier principle

We develop a theory of monotone comparative statics for models with adjustment costs. We show that comparative-statics conclusions may be drawn under the usual ordinal complementarity assumptions on the objective functio...Read more...

Wednesday 01 November 2023 14:00 - 15:30

STICERD Econometrics Seminar Series

Testing for identification in potentially misspecified linear GMM

Work in Progress. No paper to distribute yet....Read more...

Thursday 02 November 2023 13:00 - 14:00

IFS/STICERD/UCL Development Work in Progress Seminar

The origins and consequences of territorial control

Read more...

Friday 03 November 2023 14:00 - 15:30

STICERD Econometrics Seminar Series

TBC

TBC...Read more...

Monday 06 November 2023 12:00 - 13:30

CEP/STICERD Applications Seminars

Work Over Just Cash: Informal Redistribution among Employers and Workers in Kampala, Uganda

This paper examines informal redistribution in the form of work in small and medium enterprises in Kampala, Uganda and its drivers. Using a field experiment, we show that employers and workers systematically choose givin...Read more...

Tuesday 07 November 2023 14:00 - 15:30

Political Science and Political Economy Research Seminar

Bourbon Reforms and State Capacity in the Spanish Empire.

We study state modernization and its fiscal and political consequences in Spain's American empire during the 18th century. We focus on the intendancy system, whereby the Bourbon rulers introduced a new corps of provincia...Read more...

Wednesday 08 November 2023 12:30 - 13:45

IFS-STICERD Public Economics Seminar

TBC

TBC...Read more...

Thursday 09 November 2023 13:00 - 14:00

IFS/STICERD/UCL Development Work in Progress Seminar

Spillovers in State Capacity Building: Evidence from the Digitization of Land Records in Pakistan",

Strong legal and fiscal capacity are both crucial to foster economic development, yet we know little about how these two forms of state capacity interact. Using a newly digitized administrative dataset on agricultural ta...Read more...

Thursday 09 November 2023 15:30 - 17:00

STICERD Economic Theory Seminars

CANCELLED: Pricing for Coordination

Read more...

Thursday 09 November 2023 18:15 - 19:30

STICERD Public Events and Lectures

STICERD and FMG

STICERD Atkinson Lecture - Cognitive Economics

Human choices are often unstable, dependent on normatively irrelevant features of the problem, and variable across people in similar situations. Standard economics resolves these challenges by constructing exotic prefer...Read more...

Monday 13 November 2023 12:00 - 13:30

CEP/STICERD Applications Seminars

Targeting Precision Medicine: Evidence from Prenatal Screening

Medical technologies can target care to patients identified through screening, raising questions of how broadly to screen for potential use. We explore this empirically in the context of a non-invasive prenatal screening...Read more...

Tuesday 14 November 2023 14:00 - 15:30

Political Science and Political Economy Research Seminar

The Legacy of Church-State Conflict: Evidence from Nazi Repression of Catholic Priests

We explore the long-term effects of selective repression of local elites on ordinary community members who had not been subject to direct repression. Drawing on the literature on the legacy of violence against civilians,...Read more...

Wednesday 15 November 2023 12:00 - 13:00

CASE Social Exclusion Seminars

Destitution in the UK 2023

This seminar focuses on the findings from the recently published 'Destitution in the UK' report, the fourth in a series of studies stretching back to 2015, revealed that approximately 3.8 million people experienced desti...Read more...

Wednesday 15 November 2023 12:30 - 13:45

IFS-STICERD Public Economics Seminar

TBC

TBC...Read more...

Thursday 16 November 2023 13:00 - 14:00

IFS/STICERD/UCL Development Work in Progress Seminar

CANCELLED: Spillovers in State Capacity Building: Evidence from the Digitization of Land Records in Pakistan

Strong legal and fiscal capacity are both crucial to foster economic development, yet we know little about how these two forms of state capacity interact. Using a newly digitized administrative dataset on agricultural ta...Read more...

Thursday 16 November 2023 14:00 - 15:30

STICERD Econometrics Seminar Series

Semidiscrete optimal transport maps: stability, limit theorems, and asymptotic efficiency

We study statistical inference for the optimal transport (OT) map (also known as the Brenier map) from a known absolutely continuous reference distribution onto an unknown finitely discrete target distribution. We derive...Read more...

Monday 20 November 2023 12:00 - 13:30

CEP/STICERD Applications Seminars

Putting Quantitative Models to the Test: An Application to Trump's Trade War

The primary motivation behind quantitative modeling in international trade and many other fields is to shed light on the economic consequences of policy changes. To help assess and potentially strengthen the credibility ...Read more...

Monday 20 November 2023 12:30 - 13:45

IFS-STICERD Public Economics Seminar

TBC

TBC...Read more...

Tuesday 21 November 2023 14:00 - 15:30

Political Science and Political Economy Research Seminar

How (not) to Solve the Guardianship Dilemma: Counterbalancing and the Consequences of Military Control in Medieval China

Counterbalancing, a strategy to strengthen control of the military by weakening the command authority within it, is prevalent across many parts of the world. Yet, few studies have systematically examined the benefits and...Read more...

Thursday 23 November 2023 14:00 - 15:30

STICERD Econometrics Seminar Series

Existence of a Competitive Equilibrium with Substitutes, with Applications to Matching and Discrete Choice Models

We propose new results for the existence and uniqueness of a general nonparametric and nonseparable competitive equilibrium with substitutes. These results ensure the invertibility of a general competitive system. The ex...Read more...

Thursday 23 November 2023 15:30 - 17:00

STICERD Economic Theory Seminars

Dynamic Screening: Why Weight Isn't Volume

We consider a continuous-time game between a buyer and a seller. The buyer privately knows how often he needs to trade. When he does, he can choose to either engage with the seller, who chooses what utility to supply, or...Read more...

Monday 27 November 2023 12:00 - 13:30

CEP/STICERD Applications Seminars

The Effect of Child Endowment on Fertility Choices

Does the intellectual endowment of children affect parents? fertility choices? The quantity-quality model of fertility predicts that a positive (negative) shock to child endowment increases (decreases) parental demand fo...Read more...

Tuesday 28 November 2023 14:00 - 15:30

Political Science and Political Economy Research Seminar

TBC

TBC...Read more...

Wednesday 29 November 2023 12:00 - 13:00

CASE Social Exclusion Seminars

CASE

Housing and Inequalities - health and wellbeing implications for children and their families

This seminar focuses on research around overcrowding, temporary accommodation and also a broader overview of housing quality including issues such as damp and mould. Dr Ucci will draw from her own research and also refer...Read more...

Thursday 30 November 2023 13:00 - 14:00

IFS/STICERD/UCL Development Work in Progress Seminar

Endogenous Sample Selection in Household Surveys

This paper examines the production of household survey data, a crucial input to social science research and evidence-based policymaking. In theory, household surveys generate data from a randomly selected, representative...Read more...

Thursday 30 November 2023 14:00 - 15:30

STICERD Econometrics Seminar Series

Large-Sample Properties of the Synthetic Control Method under Selection on Unobservables

We analyze the properties of the synthetic control (SC) method in settings with a large number of units. We assume that the selection into treatment is based on unobserved permanent heterogeneity and pretreatment informa...Read more...

Thursday 30 November 2023 15:30 - 17:00

STICERD Economic Theory Seminars

Nuclear Brinkmanship and Institution

This paper studies the interplay between political institutions and the likelihood of a nuclear war. In our model, two nuclear powers are in a state of conflict; civilians affect how extractive their institutions are; p...Read more...

Monday 04 December 2023 12:00 - 13:30

CEP/STICERD Applications Seminars

TBC

TBC...Read more...

Tuesday 05 December 2023 14:00 - 15:30

Political Science and Political Economy Research Seminar

Political Trenches: War, Polarization and Partnership

We study the dynamics between local segregation, partisan conversion, and political polarization. We use the large-scale exogenous assignment to peers in a high-stakes historical context: that of universally conscripted ...Read more...

Wednesday 06 December 2023 12:00 - 13:00

CASE Social Exclusion Seminars

CASE

Dynamics of Very Deep Poverty

This seminar focuses on recent JRF research exploring people?s likelihood of moving in to and out of very deep poverty, and of living in very deep poverty for a prolonged period of time. Very deep poverty tends to be tra...Read more...

Wednesday 06 December 2023 12:30 - 13:45

IFS-STICERD Public Economics Seminar

TBC

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Thursday 07 December 2023 13:00 - 14:00

IFS/STICERD/UCL Development Work in Progress Seminar

TBC

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Thursday 07 December 2023 14:00 - 15:30

STICERD Econometrics Seminar Series

Dynamic Quantile Panel Data Models with Interactive Eects

We propose a simple two-step procedure for estimating the dynamic quantile panel data model with unobserved interactive effects. To account for the endogeneity induced by correlation between factors and lagged dependent ...Read more...

Thursday 14 December 2023 13:00 - 14:00

IFS/STICERD/UCL Development Work in Progress Seminar

TBC

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Monday 19 February 2024 12:00 - 13:30

CEP/STICERD Applications Seminars

TBC

TBC...Read more...

Monday 26 February 2024 12:00 - 13:30

CEP/STICERD Applications Seminars

TBC

TBC...Read more...

Thursday 29 February 2024 15:30 - 17:00

STICERD Economic Theory Seminars

TBC

TBC...Read more...

Thursday 29 February 2024 15:30 - 17:00

STICERD Economic Theory Seminars

TBC

TBC...Read more...

Monday 04 March 2024 12:00 - 13:30

CEP/STICERD Applications Seminars

TBC

TBC...Read more...