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IFS/STICERD/UCL Development Work in Progress Seminar

Ripple Effects of Conflict: Spatial Propagation through Prices in Somalia

Marco Alfano (University of Strathclyde), joint with Thomas Cornelissen (Essex)

Thursday 24 June 2021 13:00 - 14:00

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About this event

This paper estimates spatial spill-over effects of conflict by considering food prices as a propagating mechanism for food security in Somalia. Exploiting geo-coded data on violent incidents and the food logistics network, we find that violent incidences along transportation routes increase food prices in markets hundreds of kilometres away. We also instrument conflict with US drone and airstrikes and find similar results. We further find that violent attacks to the food transportation network decrease food security of households living in market areas where prices go up. This has adverse consequences on children's educational and health outcomes, some of which are long-lasting.

This seminar series is jointly organized by the IFS, STICERD, and UCL.

IFS/STICERD/UCL Development Economics Work In Progress seminars are held on Thursdays in term time at 13:00-14:00, at the IFS, unless specified otherwise.

Seminar organisers: Oriana Bandiera (STICERD, LSE), Imran Rasul (UCL), Britta Augsburg (IFS) and Jonathan Weigel (LSE).

For further information please contact Britta Augsburg:

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